Stock Picking Contest

C

cincyhorn

100+ Posts
Me and a few friends have an annual stock picking contest. Each person buys $1000 in stock from a formal exchange. The contest period is for one year...the person with highest gain is the winner (Must gain to win, no best loser). You can buy multiple stocks and you can sell at anytime during the year. However once you sell, the contest is over and your results are calculated. The contest ends after one year or when the last person sells.

Can anyone recommend stocks that I should research that might be a good fit for this contest?

Thanks!
 
When I get a hold of the son of a ***** who leaked this, I'm gonna tear his eyeballs out and I'm gonna suck his f**king skull.
 
I bought some Dell at about 12 last week. It has gotten hammered recently yet has nearly 7 billion in cash with a market capitalization of about 24 billion.

It makes profit yet the peak sales seems to definitely have stagnated, up in the high 50 billion per year range.

Integrating Perot systems into the mix is likely still being digested.

As the economy continues to recover Dell likely sees a boost to their sales which might help it beat the pedestrian profit forcast for it.

At 12$ per share, about a 15 P/E, it should be good to go for the next year or so.

But what do I know.
 
So what were your picks last month?

If you went with mine you are up +6.7% TMV, +13.6% EDC, & +19.4% DAG.

Others less competent pickers mentioned these... AAPL +5.1%, S +3.1%, Dell +3.1%, BP -4.9%, WPRT -5.6%, & CLNE -6.6%.

bow.gif
 
"Less competent"--that's funny. The race isn't over in a month. It's over in a year. If DAG is still up in 11 months or if you want to stand on your current gain of 19.4% (don't get me wrong--that's awesome) and it ends up being the big winner 11 months from now, then awesome. Gloat then. Gloating now is like aggy talking in August about being in the BCS CG in January.
 
Also, AAPL was up 10.92% over the last month and BP was down 0.6% over the last month. Not the same as the gains in your ETFs, but not as bad as you posted, either.

On a personal note, I bought NVDA a month ago when it bottomed out near its 52-week low. It's up 15.08% over the last month.
 
Just "flaming" to get you to comment on the thread. Don't be so sensitive...

The market was oversold a month ago and now sentiment is too bullish. I would sell all three today and start looking for better ideas tommorrow, maybe FXA & YCS.

Returns were from the date of pickers post to today. Nice job on NVDA. You should have recommended it.
 
*Update* The contest started 9/1 and I went with the following:

Home Depot +~10%
Onyx Pharmaceuticals + ~9%
Dell +~4%

So far so good!
 
I bought AAPL in 2006 at $72. I wish I had bet the farm on it. It's at $288 today.

Picked up IMAX 2 years ago at $6.60 - it's up 149%. I have no idea how long I should hang onto it.

Sotheby's (BID) up 52% in 2 years also. Got some Citigroup at $1.85 in 2008 but that was just to lessen the beating I took for buying the same at $25 a few months earlier. Blah.
 
I bought RL in 2000 or 2001 for around $13-$14. Sold it a couple of years later for over double that and thought I was a badass. Thought I was a confirmed badass when it didn't come close to my selling price for the next couple of years. Now it's $90/share and pays a dividend. Everyone who's ever had securities has done at least one head-slapping transaction.
 
Just for grins, update on the securities suggested in this thread starting from 8/5 and ending on 10/16 (one month after HURRICANE's update):

Apple: +19.68% (ACuriae, Tailgate and Dionysus)
BP: +3.12% (ACuriae)
Westport: +3.85% (NMGaucho)
Clean Energy: -14.16% (NMGaucho)
Dell: +9.69% (zork and cincyhorn)
Sprint: NC (wherzwaldo)
Direxion (TMV): -11.43% (HURRICANE)
Direxion (ETF): +32.29% (HURRICANE)
PowerShares: +37.58% (HURRICANE)
NVidia: +20.09% (ACuriae)
Home Depot: +6.89% (cincyhorn)
Onyx Pharma: +2.81% (cincyhorn)
IMAX: +16.18% (Dionysus)
Sotheby's (BID): +36.03% (Dionysus)
Ralph Lauren: +11.47% (ACuriae)
 
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