Seven Point Favorite

Money line is TCU +220; Texas -275 and line has only floated from -7 to -6.5 to -7; O/U started at 64.5 jumped to 66.5 back down to 64.5

I'll be really interested to see second half line and O/U if I can get a signal in Memorial Stadium.
 
I suspect it's the belief that TCU's defense may not be able to stop the Texas running game even if it DOES put 9 in the box and dare us to throw it. I actually think that might have some validity.
 
I think it comes down to home field and the nature of some of the close TCU games. Despite our loss to Tech, I think rankings voters didn't like the way TCU beat them. Same for the WVU and SMU games as well. You don't allow bad teams to hang around until you manage a miraculous kick return or 90-yard pass.

That said, I fully expect the game to be within 7 points.
 
What’s the rationale for this? Home field advantage? Tell me more.
The answer is simple...computers.
The rise of fpi and analytics now affects virtually every aspect of sports....vegas has now welcomed it in.
The computers have loved Texas since before the season began and continues to do so.
They utilize a complex system of stats, experience, star players, %, progression, potential, and other analytics that go far beyond the eye test or your w/l vs another team.
If anything, it can be a referendum on coaching, luck, uncontrollable variables like injuries, etc....because it suggests who/what you should or could be.
If you play espn pick em or pay any attention to media, betting sites, game leagues, etc....you are seeing picks/odds/% to win etc correlating more and more with the computers/fpi.
 
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