Schedule Analysis

p_town_horn

1,000+ Posts
Well since the start of the 08 football season is now officially less than four months away and because the off-season is horrendous, lets start the speculation and paranoia now.

I was looking at the schedule for next year to see how I though we matched up. My first concern is that ESPN and Mack Brown Tx Fb still have Arky on the schedule so I am not sure if/who we play that game since they backed out.

Now for the games (keep in mind I have not extensively looked at teams yet, just gut feeeling):

Week 1:
Florida Atlantic - returns 17 starters including 10 on offense, but lost key players on D. They throw A LOT. This should be the perfect test for our secondary to start the season. I think they will score early exploiting out young DBs but their D sucks so we should respond. Their run D also is not good so it should help us break in the RBs and O-line. All in all a good game to start the season against a decent team that should showcase our young new talent. Should win by 20+ if our DBs can get into rhythm.

Week 2:
UTEP - Probably not as good as Fl Atl. They lost their starting RB and some decent defenders. They have a young QB-rec combo that they will probably try to force too much. We should be able to cover the rec because he is a speed rec and our young DBs are pretty fast. We should score a lot!! Their D was bad last year and has lost a few guys.

Week 3:
??? I don't know we play instead or Arky

Week 4:
Rice - Again should be a lot of scoring. Rice has no run game so it will be all through the air again. Their D is worse than UTEP so we will probably see all running backs and Chiles. They have a pretty good QB-rec combo but their o-line is lacking, so we should see some sacks and really break in out pass rush.

Week 5:
Colorado - Hello Scott! QB is not great and WRs are undersized and nothing special. Scott will get his chance here. They are probably going to run incessantly and try some trick plays (revereses etc). We get to see how the linebackers handle a heavy powerful RB. The good news is the buffs lost some of their better DBs and hopefully we can exploit. I think we win a 10 point game if we can handle the run.

Week 6:
Blow U - This will be tough as usual. As much as they lost on offense, they will still be potent. I don't think Bradford will be as good as some are predicting but behind that big *** line it is hard for it to matter too much. Their D is what really worries me though. I know they lost Lofton but their interior is stout. We will have to use short yardage dumps and some creative offense to score. I don't know if we can pull this one out, but we should keep it close. The problem is we won't get many chances to score so we better play mistake free offense.

Week 7:
Mizzou - Although Daniles and Maclin are the real deal this game is going to come down to LB play. They don't have a true deep threat so it will be the short stuff in the flats. I think our LBs can handle it. Safety over the top is some concern but if we haven't figured that out by now we are screwed anyways. Their d is pretty good but by now our O should be in the groove. We win by 10 again.

Week 8:
Okie Lite - shouldn't be a scare this year!! Robinson is going to have to do it alone and he is good but not that good. There D all graduated. This should be a game we roll to, but we will be fairly worn from Mizzou and thinking about Tech. Focusness is the key here, if we have it we roll.

Week 9:
Tech - my feared game. Lubbock, scary place. Crabtree scary good. Harrell is mediocre, especially when he gets hit, but Tech returns the entire o-line who was the biggest in the NCAA last year. We probably wont have many chances to touch him, so I am very very worried about this game. Their usually sucky D will assuredly be a little better. the key to winning will be special teams. Tech doesn't have a true kicker (using their punter) so the key will be bend but don't break and get some good runbacks in the return game. We need an *** load of points to win this one. I hope we can do it.

Week 10:
Baylor - Oh Baylor, I a glad we play you this week. QB is good an will make some plays but this will be a week to heal any wounds from Tech and polish up for the last two games

Week 11:
Kansas - I know very little about Kansas, they seem to have a balanced offense and stingy defense. They lost some serious talent on both sides of the ball and they play Neb right before us so I think they may be a little depleated. So someone else needs to give me the scoop.

Week 12:;
Aggie - I am sure we all have a strong opinion on this. I will defer to discussion for aggie analysis, including Sherminator, Goodson, McGee, and the Hamburgler.

Feel free to express any thoughts or disagreements...
 
I like the schedule. Esp catching a FL Atl team that will throw. As you say, that will be good exp for our young DB's. Also like catching what she be an offensively challenged Arkie team in Austin. If the cards fall right, we could take a 5-0 record into the OU game.

I think Graham is better than mediocre and Tech is always scary--esp in Lubbock. I don't know about KU either and hope to hear from others.

hookem.gif
 
quick glance at KU indicates that they lose their top rusher and top two receivers along with their kicker. i like that.
 
Rice beat up UTEP pretty good last year and is expected to do so again this year. That said, Texas should win both of these by at least 40 or we are in for a long season.
 
My fault about Arkie, I also like the idea of taking them on in our house with a depleted offense. Harrell is probably better than mediocre, but just hate giving him credit. He is probably not as good as some of the QBs they have had in the past and he is twice as cocky. He will look good though because Crabtree catches everything and his o-line is about the same size as an NFL line. If he gets hit or picked off, the wheels come off, but it will be hard to touch him with that line. I just hope our DEs are shifty and can get to Harrell without trying to bull them over, because that won't work.
 
Tech will be a very hostile place for the Horns this year, ESPECIALLY if it's a night game which I'm sure it will be. Their fans will be jacked for this one. I'm actually kinda interested in this game myself. I'm just glad we get them at home this year.
 
Playing at Tech always makes me nervous.

Between Mizzou and Kansas, I am glad we get Mizzou at home since that is the toughest of our Big XII North matchups.
 
The FAU game makes me nervous. They are no slouch. They scored a lot of points last year, and returning 10 starters worries me. I will be surprised if it is not closer than a 20+ point game. Then again, hopefully Muschamp shuts them down, and our offense will be clicking. Their QB looks good (32 TD vs. 9 int.) and they return a 1000+ yd. and 800+ yd. receiver. That being said, they did it against Sun Belt defenses and when they played big schools last year (Okie St., Florida, and Kentucky) they got smoked.

The other one that scares me a lot (other than the obvious OU game and tough games vs. Kansas and Mizzou), is @ Tech. I know a lot of people are worried about this too. I have heard a lot of hype about their new, great defense. Hopefully hype is all that it is, but if that team does actually have a good D, they can be very scary.
 
Like your analysis. I'll try to add some more.

1. FlaAtl-defense works out the kinks, calls and reads. Blown assignments will happen, but defense rises when needed. The offense polishes the running game while working to keep Colt clean. 31-13 Horns.

2. UTEP-first road game in a very hot stadium. Slow start on offense, but Oline coming together and defense still working out the kinks. 28-10 Horns.

3. Arkie-1st quarter is hostile for both teams, but Horns wear'em down on both sides of the ball. 30-14 Horns.

4. Look for Harris/Chiles to get a lot of reps in this game and the defense rotates a lot of players in a 42-0 Horn rout.

5. CU-first REAL test for the Horns. Defense starts to shine and offense begins to click as well (hopefully). Horns win 24-7.

6. okie-If the Horns come together by CU, I think they can win this one. But no predictions yet.

7. Mizzou-Horns always seem to do well following OU game, at least in the Mack era. I think the defense leads the way in stoning Chase and the offense moves just enough to win. 17-9 Horns.

8. Okie Light-Horns should hit the ground running and the defense shines as the focus turns to a BCS bowl or possible championship. Horns win big 45-6.

9. Tech-I really like the Horns in this game, but no predictions yet.

10. Baylor-Big win 31-3.

11. KU-The Jhawks will be battered and bruised and ripe for a big slap from the Horns on both sides of the ball. This is the message game for aggie. 41-12 Horns.

12. aggie-No more "Cart McCoy" after this game. He'll shine and the defense will dominate. 38-6 Horns.

As always, staying healthy will be the first priority. If they can stay healthy, come together by CU, then I think they can take the South. Do I think they'll run the table? No. But a 1 or 2 loss team will take the South...imho.

Hook'em!
 
You missed the Baylor game (who cares), and you didn't offer predictions on OU and Tech, BUT...

77 points allowed in 9 games?

My pants will go crazy if our defense shines like that.
 
Thank you. Fixed it. I know I'm overally optimistic about our defense, but I like what I've seen before the Holiday Bowl and what I've seen in the spring. If this pans out, and with the recruiting classes that are coming, we could be in for some special times for Longhorn football.
hookem.gif

Hook'em!
 
FAU - Not a terrible team to start out with. Offense isn't quite ready to go right off the bat. Horns win 31-14.

UTEP - We simply have too much talent. Horns win 42-10.

Arkansas - This is the arkie's Super Bowl and it will show. Our offense will struggle, but so will theirs. Horns win 23-14.

Rice - Beatdown. Horns win 55-13.

Colorado - Our first real road test of the year. CU shows up ready to play, but so do we. Horns wins 30-20.

OU - Both teams come ready to play. However, at the end of the day, we are a year away and just can't come up with the plays. Horns lose 24-17.

Missouri - We start out slow due to the post-ou loss. We make a run, but it is too little, too late. Horns lose 30-24.

OSU - We need a win bad, and OSU isn't the best team in the world. Horns win 38-17.

Tech - Game is in Lubbock and Tech wants this one bad. This is the year they finally get it done. We come ready to play, but it just isn't enough. Horns lose 35-27.

Baylor - Beatdown. Horns win 44-7.

Kansas - Our offense finally gets going and we get our best win of the year. Horns win 31-21.

A&M - We carry the momentum from the last game and are ready to play. Horns win 28-17.

9-3. Go to Holiday, Cotton, or Gator Bowl.
 
We need to find another pass receiver and decide who is the running back.
I think OU is going to have an off year, just a feeling -- on paper they look good.
TT --- Texas Tech may have the best team on the field that they have had in years. If Leech makes better field positiion decisions this year and does not put his D in bad field position.... this could be a tough game. They have a great receiver who will probably set all the records before he is done.

I'm not giving up on Texas, but if I had to pick an another team in the Big12, I think it would be TT. Their schedule OOC - E. Washington, at Nevada, SMU & Mass.
North BIG12 is K-St., Nebraska & Kansas. With some luck TT may come out with only 1 loss this year.
 
Haven't you heard? Tech is supposed to finally have a solid defense this year! Of course, we've heard that same song and dance for the past 4 years, so I'll believe it when I see it.
 
I'll hold off on predicting OU and Tech at least until 2-a-days are over with. Still some things I want to see.

Hook'em!
 
Early early early prediction is we go 10-2 and end up in Gator Bowl. Losses to Ou and either tech or mizzou with Kansas in Lawrence a possibility too. 2009 is next real shot at BCS berth.
 
I don't know why I predict this every year and they prove me wrong, but I think OSU will be better this year. I guess I want it to happen because I would like to see them deal blow U some **** in their own state. I think they have recruited better and have better personnel at about all positions, but so far that hasn't turned into more wins, but it could at some point. Pickens is just pooring so much money into that deal that at some point they get better. I still think we beat them, but one guys prediction of 45-6 is a little much for me. I think Aggie is the real drop team in the South this year and TT may play with the big boys.
 

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