RPI - as of 4/27/09 - #9

[jayakris]

Here it is, as of this morning (4/27/09). Our wins in green. Our losses in red, and teams coming up, in bold.1 35-11 North Carolina2 28-11 Georgia Tech3 28-10 Rice4 29-11 Cal State Fullerton
5 29-14 Miami, Florida
6 30-11 UC Irvine
7 30-15 Clemson
8 31-9 Arizona State
9 29-11 Texas
10 27-12 Texas Christian
11 29-12 Arkansas
12 33-11 Georgia
13 31-14 Florida
14 34-9 Virginia
15 33-11 Oklahoma
16 32-12 Mississippi
17 33-12 Louisiana State
18 26-16 Hawaii
19 25-17 Baylor
20 30-12 Florida State
21 27-12 Minnesota
22 28-15 Texas A&M
23 28-17 Oklahoma State
24 31-11 Kansas State
25 30-11 Georgia Southern

34 31-10 Texas State
38 24-21 Missouri
52 22-11 Oral Roberts
53 29-11 Dallas Baptist
61 29-15 Kansas
97 19-23 Nebraska
100 21-19 Penn State
102 20-27 Texas Tech
103 18-18 Stanford
118 23-20 Texas-Arlington
195 17-19 Illinois-Chicago
227 16-29 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
280 14-23 Alabama A&M
292 18-24 Texas Southern

Our Monday-to-Monday movement -> #27 to #17 to #12 to #7 to #9

The RPI Needs Report says we need to go 9-1 from here on, to finish top-8. That means we need to go 6-1 against Texas State, Baylor, Aggy. Lose more than 2 of those games, and we will definitely hurt ourselves.

Tomorrow's Texas State game is not insignificant.

Our ISR is at #6 today.

R.J.

 

[Barton Hills]

A little surprised we didn't take a bigger hit. I'm anxious to see the polls/projections this week to hear what we need to do to get back in the Super discussion.

RPI Needs Report says 9-1. Don't see that happening.

 

[ElginHotSausage]

it's 80's night because Derrick Grubbs is a goofy bastard

 

[jayakris]

If you are wondering, here is our ISR rating and those of our opponents (as of 4/28) with the same color coding as above. The third column is Boyd's strength of schedule (SOS) rankings. 1 31-9 6 Arizona State 2 29-11 1 Cal State Fullerton 3 30-11 4 UC Irvine
4 28-10 8 Rice
5 33-11 16 Oklahoma
6 29-11 15 Texas
7 28-11 12 Georgia Tech
8 29-12 17 Arkansas
9 27-12 11 Texas Christian
10 29-10 34 Cal Poly
11 35-11 42 North Carolina
12 33-11 50 Georgia
13 31-11 49 Kansas State
14 24-11 26 Oregon State
15 30-15 19 Clemson
16 34-9 85 Virginia
17 31-14 36 Florida
18 32-12 54 Mississippi
19 24-13 22 UC Riverside
20 28-15 25 Texas A&M
21 29-14 27 Miami, Florida
22 33-12 58 Louisiana State
23 30-12 53 Florida State
24 28-13 47 Gonzaga
25 25-17 7 Baylor

26 28-17 20 Oklahoma State
29 31-10 89 Texas State
38 29-15 45 Kansas
46 24-21 14 Missouri
47 30-11 107 Dallas Baptist
50 19-18 10 Stanford
55 22-11 93 Oral Roberts
89 19-23 31 Nebraska
99 20-27 24 Texas Tech
101 23-20 74 Texas-Arlington
128 21-19 130 Penn State
153 17-19 145 Illinois-Chicago
211 16-29 113 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
284 18-24 286 Texas Southern
290 14-24 292 Alabama A&M

Many of our opponents have much higher ISR rankings than RPI. That explains wh we are still #6 in ISR.

We are 2-1 against top-10, 2-2 against top-15, 4-2 against top-30, 4-3 against top-40 and 7-3 against top-50.

Let us win today's Texas State game, which is an important one too.

R.J.

 

[jayakris]

Well, Boyd shows our RPI to be back back up to #7 again.
The ISR is #5.

It is like nothing happened, as we went 1-3-1 in the last 5 games, as our RPI was #7 before that! The Texas State win helped too.

I think we still have only a small margin of error to stay inside top-8. The RPI Needs report says we need to go 8-1, which is basically 5-1 against BU and aggy, as we will certainly win the other three games. If we go 3-3 or 4-2 against those two, we will probably have to do well in the conference tourney too. All in all, not a bad position to be in.

R.J.

 

[Texas Wahoo]

In reply to:

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[goosehorn]

I think the selection committee is going to factor in conference standings quite a bit too when deciding whether we get a top 8 seeding over our Texas buddies. Obviously Rice is a shoe-in at this point. I think it is going to be important for us to beat both Baylor and aggy to get a top 8, let alone a host site. We have a solid RPI, we just need a conference record.

That Texas State game was freaking huge! Great job Horns!

 

[jayakris]

I think Boyd ran some more data later yesterday and raised our RPI to #6 .. It is #6 in RPI and #5 in ISR as of wednesday afternoon. Cool.

R.J.

 

[jayakris]

Well, well, it keeps getting better. Boyd must have input some more data and run it today .. The thursday rankings show us at #5 in RPI and #5 in ISR !!! ... This sounds really encouraging.

Also, the RPI Needs Report now says we can go to 7-2 and still be finish top-8 in RPI. That is nice to know, but that is a bit of an unsteady thing, as it depends on what everybody else does also.

Do a 3-3 or better against BU and aggy, and we will finish at not lower than 9 or 10. Seems like winning the conference or finishing ahead of OU may be more important for a top-8 seed. We would need at least 4-2, or may be 5-1 for that. Let us get that job done.

R.J.