Romney Surges Past McCain in California

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Latest Zogby Poll states that Romney leads by eight points over McCain in California. That kinda came from nowhere. In addition, in one poll Romney is also winning in Georgia now and closing in Missouri. Even worse, Romney has closed the gap against McCain to single digits in Arizona.

Clearly, Limbaugh, Coulter, Hannity and Co. have had an effect. Obviously, McCain will win most Super Tuesday states. He will carry NY, NJ, Conn, Delaware, (probably Missouri), Arizona, West Virginia and Illinois.

But if Romney beats McCain in California, Massachusetts, Utah, Montana, Colorado, Georgia, Alaska and North Dakota, can McCain declare victory? I would think not. He would definitely have more delegates, but the media would spin it that he had Romney on the ropes and couldn't deliver the knockout blow.

It seems that many conservative GOP power brokers are hedging their bets that if Romney can win California. If so, they can see a scenario where Romney can never pass McCain for delegates, but can block McCain from securing enough delegates to win the nomination during the primaries.

This looked over last week, but a Romney win in California could keep the race alive until the Ohio and Texas primaries. Any coincidence that Romney's surge in polling is directly tied to the day that Rick Perry endorsed McCain? Haha.
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I would love to see the primary battles of both parties come to Texas. Maybe there will even be some drama during the Republican convention.
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Texas and Ohio on March 4th. I will be receiving my absentee ballot in a few days. I'm eager to cast my vote for Obama. I am going to be a poll worker/judge in a very Republican precinct--Cedarville OH. I was a poll observer for the Democrats the past two elections. I recommend that anyone interested in politics have a go as a poll worker.
 
California Republican Primary
Tuesday, February 5 | Delegates at Stake: 173
Poll Date Sample McCain Romney Huckabee Paul Spread
RCP Average 01/30 to 02/03 - 37.6 35.4 10.4 5.0 McCain +2.2
SurveyUSA 02/02 - 02/03 517 LV 39 36 9 7 McCain +3.0
Reuters/CSpan/Zogby 02/01 - 02/03 915 LV 32 40 12 5 Romney +8.0
Rasmussen 02/02 - 02/02 693 LV 38 38 10 6 Tie
Suffolk 01/31 - 02/01 500 LV 39 32 8 4 McCain +7.0
Mason-Dixon 01/30 - 02/01 400 LV 40 31 13 3 McCain +9.0


Romney didnt surge past McCain. Probably one of the polls Romney paid someone off to make look good for hiim.
 
Until the election is over and the votes are counted, nobody has surged past another candidate.

It is kind of like saying "I made a lot of money in the stock market today." when you didn't buy and sell or simply sell any stock.
 
California changed their rules and is no longer a winner take all state. "winning" California isn't as important as taking a significant edge of delegates (which are not distributed according to the total popular vote) IMO.
 
Cali is proportional. It won't decide anything although the media will make the Cail "winner" into more than it really is.

Romney will grab a chunk of delegates today, but McCain will grab nearly twice as much.

In many places where Huck is close with Romney, Huck will win as McCainiacs will lean Hucks way to stymie Romney. Like WV. Maybe Mo.

Happy Fat Super Tuesday.
 
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