Romney 5, Obama 4

[huisache]

That is my prediction of the final vote in the presidential election. Just like in 2000.

There are going to be scads of lawsuits about the voter rolls and illegal purging and illegal voting and they will all go to the Supreme Court and be decided on a partisan basis.

I've been reading Garner and Scalia's book on judicial interpretation and recommend it to all, especially lawyers. They make a fine argument for "textualism" as the only viable or at least best method of interpretation. Both those guys have fine minds and write cogently.

After reading hundreds of pages of how you shouldn't interpret the law and how you should, I went to the private right to bear arms case, Scalia's most famous recent decision, and found that in arriving at the "correct" answer he violated almost all of his learned rules.

They all are ends oriented and the end is best served by having a republican, even if he is plastic or a half wit, in office.

So 5-4 it will be.

If I am wrong about this in January, I promise I will never post on this board again. My promises are at least as good as Obama's or Romney's.

 

[Horns11]

Which states are going to be the culprits? Even if the margins of error are correct right now, Obama still has a fairly comfortable electoral college lead.

 

[Mr. Deez]

I don't that's going to happen. Romney is losing in too many states by too big of a margin for it to be worthwhile. I'm sure things will narrow. I don't think it's going to be a blowout like some suggest. However, I don't think the margin is going to be razor thin enough for litigation to make an impact. Could the Court come up with a ******** reason to invalidate the election results no matter how big the margin is? Sure, but not while keeping its credibility.

 

[NEWDOC2002]

Oh the wise collection of Nostradamus pupils on this board. If I had a nickle for every opinion on this election (both on this board and in the media), I would be over compensated.

 

[Mr. Deez]

In reply to:

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[huisache]

the margins right now in the battleground states are thin and history tells us they will get thinner.

The number of registered voters who are getting purged is big. Big enough to make things very close.

In states the dems lose they will sue because some of the purged voters should not have been. How many times can the convicted burglar Sam Jones be registered to vote in how many Florida counties? How may the other Sams have voted if allowed and for who?

Any state where there is a contested voter ID law is subject to a lawsuit. There are a number of grounds for disqualifying voters or votes at the precinct level. The means of collecting the info on those incidents is at hand.

Republicans will contest some areas, Dems in others. In some, both will file suits.

This sort of litigation is diffficult to handle quickly and fairly. Like in time for the electoral college to meet. See the Gore case for examples of how screwed up things can get.

If it goes to the Supreme Court, Romney wins. See Gore.

Of course, I am the one who announced with confidence on this board that there was no way the GOP would nominate Romney. Shows what I know.

And I resent the comparison to NOstradamus; his predictions were so vague they could cover anything or nothing. Mine was real specific.

 

[mojo17]

Romney is a pkastic dim wit and Obama is?

 

[huisache]

Obama is an elitist demogogue, a pied piper and an egomaniac whose best work was writing two memoirs before he was fifty.

As I've said before, I don't have much use for either of the Ivy League twerps. Just because you dislike one doesn't mean the other is worth whizzing on.

People get all in a tizzy about how bad Obama is or W is and spend four or eight years building up steam to the point that they think any alternative is much better.

In 1932 the Germans were fed up with Franz von Papen, an arrogant, rigid, petty jerk of a chancellor. No doubt many thought that replacing him with Adolf Hitler could do no harm.

At this point in time, given our political class, nobody good is going to emerge.

 

[314]

Obama is winning this one by 100 elctoral votes or so.