FWHORN
10,000+ Posts
Much like Detroit, St. Louis has an ace in Carpenter who shortens a series as you expect to lose when he gets his two starts. Against Verlander the Rangers got a win in one of his two starts and if they can get a similar win against Carpenter you have to like the Rangers chances.
Starting pitching beyond Carpenter has been a weakness for St Louis as well so the Rangers deficiency in that aspect wont be as big a factor though the Cardinals also have a strong bullpen so the ability to get to their starters wont swing a game entirely. The edge overall with pitching is to Cardinals slightly because of the Carpenter factor but no where near as huge as it was last year with the Giants and I think the bullpens are even or just barely an edge to the Rangers.
Offensively Pujols is perhaps the best hitter in the game today, but is a bit hobbled. The Cardinal lineup is solid top to bottom and the Cardinals have shown an ability to score a ton of runs but still the edge here has to go to the Rangers. Young coming on makes that line up so scary and what can you say about Cruz in the seven hole no less. I expect several slug fest games.
Do not underestimate the LaRussa factor. He is the wild card in that he can manage a team to a win they otherwise would have lost. Cardinals getting home field is a lot like last year where Rangers in spite of having a worse record than the Yankees got home field, baseball gods evening things out.
I like the Rangers in six winning in games 2, 3, 4 and 6.
Starting pitching beyond Carpenter has been a weakness for St Louis as well so the Rangers deficiency in that aspect wont be as big a factor though the Cardinals also have a strong bullpen so the ability to get to their starters wont swing a game entirely. The edge overall with pitching is to Cardinals slightly because of the Carpenter factor but no where near as huge as it was last year with the Giants and I think the bullpens are even or just barely an edge to the Rangers.
Offensively Pujols is perhaps the best hitter in the game today, but is a bit hobbled. The Cardinal lineup is solid top to bottom and the Cardinals have shown an ability to score a ton of runs but still the edge here has to go to the Rangers. Young coming on makes that line up so scary and what can you say about Cruz in the seven hole no less. I expect several slug fest games.
Do not underestimate the LaRussa factor. He is the wild card in that he can manage a team to a win they otherwise would have lost. Cardinals getting home field is a lot like last year where Rangers in spite of having a worse record than the Yankees got home field, baseball gods evening things out.
I like the Rangers in six winning in games 2, 3, 4 and 6.