POTUS Poll
Predict Trump vs Biden Winner
- Thread starter LonghornCatholic
- Start date
Captain9Dragons
< 25 Posts
GoTrump!
I honestly have no idea. I have common sense family who voted Biden to “stop the division” then friends in Michigan and Ohio Who I thought were democrats send me pictures of themselves at Trump rallys. I think PA is the key.
I think this won’t wrap up for a couple of weeks.
I think this won’t wrap up for a couple of weeks.
Last edited:
Horn2RunAgain
2,500+ Posts
2 weeks from now we'll see if the dnc can steal PA. Whoever wins there takes it
Horn2RunAgain
2,500+ Posts
I think when all is said and done, biden is going to find out Trump is Korn Pop's bigger, more badass brother and has come to even an old score
I honestly think Trump, but Biden will win bigger in the popular vote. I agree that PA is the key.
It's hard to say. So many states are close, and so many red states are close. It'll come down to PA unless Biden also flips Florida and Arizona. If that happens, it's going to be a bloodbath.
What really stinks is that we may not know the results for awhile, and nobody will accept the results. If Biden wins, the Right will claim there was cheating. If Trump wins, the Left will riot.
Of the two, I prefer to see the left continue to riot.
If he wins, she'll be president by the midterm election or soon afterwards.
You are giving the socialist wing far too much credit for patience.
If Biden wins, he will be "discovered" to have advancing Alzheimers and will be out of office by June of 2021.
If Biden wins, he will be "discovered" to have advancing Alzheimers and will be out of office by June of 2021.
Duck Dodgers
1,000+ Posts
Four election scenarios, which I'll list increasing order of awesomeness, and thankfully, likelihood.
Biden landslide (yuck). The scenario here is lots of upper class voters think, after 4 years of propaganda by the Democrat Media Complex (DMC), that Trumps a meanie, and they don't want to vote for a meanie. These are the chumps who have those signs that say "in this house blah blah blah". Plus loss of lots of Seasoned Citizens, driven terrified of the Wuhan by the DMC. And no corresponding pickup of support from working class blacks or Hispanics.
This is the results that the polls have been constructed to portray, and would result in Slow Joe wins in Florida, GA, NC, AZ, OH, Iowa, and all the Midwest swing states. Would be doubly bad as it would result in Senate loses in AZ, NC, IA, and one or maybe both GA seats.
However, there's little evidence to support this scenario, besides all the same polls that were wrong last time, and are usually done with either a media outfit or a school, both of which are totally run by leftists.
Republican turnout in early voting has been high, and election day turnout is very high, historic levels in high Republican areas. Trump's approval ratings with Republicans are at historic levels as well. So unlikely that Slow Joe is going to get a lot of crossover R support. Personally, I think if he was not popular among Republicans you'd see low turnout from them, as a lot just wound't vote, instead of making the turn all the way over to the Communist swine side.
So, the Natey Nate fantasy of Florida, Texas, GA, etc going to Biden are very slim.
Biden landslide (yuck). The scenario here is lots of upper class voters think, after 4 years of propaganda by the Democrat Media Complex (DMC), that Trumps a meanie, and they don't want to vote for a meanie. These are the chumps who have those signs that say "in this house blah blah blah". Plus loss of lots of Seasoned Citizens, driven terrified of the Wuhan by the DMC. And no corresponding pickup of support from working class blacks or Hispanics.
This is the results that the polls have been constructed to portray, and would result in Slow Joe wins in Florida, GA, NC, AZ, OH, Iowa, and all the Midwest swing states. Would be doubly bad as it would result in Senate loses in AZ, NC, IA, and one or maybe both GA seats.
However, there's little evidence to support this scenario, besides all the same polls that were wrong last time, and are usually done with either a media outfit or a school, both of which are totally run by leftists.
Republican turnout in early voting has been high, and election day turnout is very high, historic levels in high Republican areas. Trump's approval ratings with Republicans are at historic levels as well. So unlikely that Slow Joe is going to get a lot of crossover R support. Personally, I think if he was not popular among Republicans you'd see low turnout from them, as a lot just wound't vote, instead of making the turn all the way over to the Communist swine side.
So, the Natey Nate fantasy of Florida, Texas, GA, etc going to Biden are very slim.
Duck Dodgers
1,000+ Posts
Next up is the Biden close win. He loses FLA, GA, NC, TX, but picks up enough from the Power 5 of AZ, MN, MI, WI, and PA.
Possible, though the pollsters who predicted 16 correctly show President Trump with leads in all these states. Depending on the breakdown of what states Slow Joe wins, probably not enough to change control of the Senate - only real sure ones are CO and AL swaps for no net change, and then maybe -2 via Maine and AZ. But that's still 51 R votes, as I think Tills wins in NC due to Trump pulling him over the line, and I don't think Ernst (sp?) was ever in trouble in IA, just media hype so they could sell about 100 million dollars in TV ads.
Slow Joe drooling in the White House and Cocaine Mitch in the Senate would be an interesting battle. The Democrats would rule via the Executive Branch's power, which is quite extensive when a Democrat is President as the agencies get to carry out the orders they all support. But no horrid changes like adding 14 new states or expanding the SC to 53 members.
Possible, though the pollsters who predicted 16 correctly show President Trump with leads in all these states. Depending on the breakdown of what states Slow Joe wins, probably not enough to change control of the Senate - only real sure ones are CO and AL swaps for no net change, and then maybe -2 via Maine and AZ. But that's still 51 R votes, as I think Tills wins in NC due to Trump pulling him over the line, and I don't think Ernst (sp?) was ever in trouble in IA, just media hype so they could sell about 100 million dollars in TV ads.
Slow Joe drooling in the White House and Cocaine Mitch in the Senate would be an interesting battle. The Democrats would rule via the Executive Branch's power, which is quite extensive when a Democrat is President as the agencies get to carry out the orders they all support. But no horrid changes like adding 14 new states or expanding the SC to 53 members.
Duck Dodgers
1,000+ Posts
The mirror of this is a close Trump win - keeps the sunbelt states, and AZ, then just needs 1 of the 4 of the Midwest swing states. I think MI is the most likely to go, from polls, and how disliked the Dictatorette Whitmeyer is in many rural and upstate places in MI.
Would be nice as that locks up the EV's without worrying about Maine's or Nebraska's district EV's, and also would mean a James win in the Senate. So 52 to 54 R Senators, depending on Maine and AZ. Judge confirmation train continues.
Would be nice as that locks up the EV's without worrying about Maine's or Nebraska's district EV's, and also would mean a James win in the Senate. So 52 to 54 R Senators, depending on Maine and AZ. Judge confirmation train continues.
Duck Dodgers
1,000+ Posts
Finally, the bestust, most KAG scenario of them all, the Trump blowout.
All the same states as last time, plus another couple just to rub the salt into the wounds of the Commies. Nevada looks ripe for the taking, maybe Virginia as well, which would be awesome.
In this scenario, President Trump's working class collation expands black and Hispanic support, Seniors stay on the Trump Train, rural voters come out in unprecedented numbers as they finally have someone to vote for who doesn't hate them (you have to take wins when you can!).
On the other side, Slow Joe doesn't get near the vote by mail fraud results they were wanting, as chicken bones here show:
College students are copying Wikipedia from home instead of at school, so the dumb *** vote is at a minimum. Black and Hispanics don't turn out, and the ones that do have a high percentage of them who've taken the red pill, and vote for a party that wants them to succeed, not just get a welfare check in the projects or a landscaping job for sub-minimum wage.
This scenario carries McSally and Collins across the finish line (how ironic if she keeps that seat because of Trump voters coming out from behind every tree in upstate Maine for vote for him, and her as well), plus James in the Senate. So actually a gain of 1 in the Senate to 54.
Bryer decides no ones going to call him the Notorious B and hangs it up, putting another SC seat in the bank. C Thomas gets to become de factor Chief Justice of the Supreme Court, as position he should have been offered but Bush was a wimp and coward.
Of the 4 scenarios, personally, I think this one is the most likely. Since WWII, only twice has the pattern of 8 years for each party not occurred - Reagan was the reason for both. Slow Joe is no Reagan running against Carter.
All the same states as last time, plus another couple just to rub the salt into the wounds of the Commies. Nevada looks ripe for the taking, maybe Virginia as well, which would be awesome.
In this scenario, President Trump's working class collation expands black and Hispanic support, Seniors stay on the Trump Train, rural voters come out in unprecedented numbers as they finally have someone to vote for who doesn't hate them (you have to take wins when you can!).
On the other side, Slow Joe doesn't get near the vote by mail fraud results they were wanting, as chicken bones here show:
College students are copying Wikipedia from home instead of at school, so the dumb *** vote is at a minimum. Black and Hispanics don't turn out, and the ones that do have a high percentage of them who've taken the red pill, and vote for a party that wants them to succeed, not just get a welfare check in the projects or a landscaping job for sub-minimum wage.
This scenario carries McSally and Collins across the finish line (how ironic if she keeps that seat because of Trump voters coming out from behind every tree in upstate Maine for vote for him, and her as well), plus James in the Senate. So actually a gain of 1 in the Senate to 54.
Bryer decides no ones going to call him the Notorious B and hangs it up, putting another SC seat in the bank. C Thomas gets to become de factor Chief Justice of the Supreme Court, as position he should have been offered but Bush was a wimp and coward.
Of the 4 scenarios, personally, I think this one is the most likely. Since WWII, only twice has the pattern of 8 years for each party not occurred - Reagan was the reason for both. Slow Joe is no Reagan running against Carter.
Duck Dodgers
1,000+ Posts
PS - have your read all the analysis of how to win the popular vote? Are Natey Nate and the other fools figuring out how the candidates should win that? Didn't think so. It's not how the game is played, so no one running a campaign tries to win it. It's like having the most rushing yards in a football game. Interesting, but doesn't determine who wins.
After the election is over, and Trumps in office till 2025 (!), expect all the same media c**ts who didn't say 3 words about this during the election, focus on it like a laser. It'll be all the have. Maybe they can gin up another excuse as bad as Russia Stole my Election!, like they did last time. Would need their private secret police force, the FBI, to assist, via presenting newspaper articles as evidence to FISA judges.
After the election is over, and Trumps in office till 2025 (!), expect all the same media c**ts who didn't say 3 words about this during the election, focus on it like a laser. It'll be all the have. Maybe they can gin up another excuse as bad as Russia Stole my Election!, like they did last time. Would need their private secret police force, the FBI, to assist, via presenting newspaper articles as evidence to FISA judges.
I will add that while I expect a close Biden victory, I would not be surprised by a Trump win either. I do believe there are a lot of Trump voters that won't admit to it. After 4 years of calling Trump a racist, sexist, tax evader, Russian asset, etc., I can understand why some folks don't want to be considered guilty by association.
Horns11
10,000+ Posts
I think it's obvious that either @Duck Dodgers scenario 2 or 3 will come to fruition. Although I don't think MI is the flipping point for Trump... it would be any of the other Rust Belt states before MI because of how they view Flint, BLM, and trying to keep Peters on the down ballot. I think WI and PA are way more ripe for Trump than MI at this point. Also, I think the DNC learned a lot about Hillary skipping over MI in 2016.
I don't see anything about Nate Silver predicting that TX/GA will go blue. There are a lot of articles on fivethirtyeight about stuff like that, like how Beto almost beat an unlikeable candidate, but as close as those two states are, it's doubtful Biden will win them. But as doubtful as that is, it's also not likely that Trump will keep all of the "Big 6" that won 2016 (AZ, FL, NC, PA, MI, WI). We're talking 5-point state polling discrepancies, which has only happened in 2000 and 2016. The 2018 midterms were only 1-point variances on average because of how a lot of pollsters altered their methodologies after 2016.
The winner will have between 270 and 290 electoral votes in my opinion, but we won't know the total for maybe a week or two.
I don't see anything about Nate Silver predicting that TX/GA will go blue. There are a lot of articles on fivethirtyeight about stuff like that, like how Beto almost beat an unlikeable candidate, but as close as those two states are, it's doubtful Biden will win them. But as doubtful as that is, it's also not likely that Trump will keep all of the "Big 6" that won 2016 (AZ, FL, NC, PA, MI, WI). We're talking 5-point state polling discrepancies, which has only happened in 2000 and 2016. The 2018 midterms were only 1-point variances on average because of how a lot of pollsters altered their methodologies after 2016.
The winner will have between 270 and 290 electoral votes in my opinion, but we won't know the total for maybe a week or two.
WillUSAF
500+ Posts
I need to talk to you about my DraftKings and my lottery picks....
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