Housing Mkt Correction/Collapse

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'THAT'S RIGHT. I MADE HOUSING MORE AFFORDABLE.'
(in case there are any exceptionally thick lurkers out there: this is not an actual quote, just a prediction of the spin...)
 
A
The housing bubble that led up to the 2008 crisis is attributed to a combination of cheap debt, predatory lending practices, and complex financial engineering that resulted in many borrowers being placed into mortgages they could not afford.
that part always chaps my ***. it was the gov meddling that forced lenders to lend to unqualified mortgagees. Of course they are going to charge a higher premium for borrower pools that are going to have a much higher default rate. and it attempts to completely absolve those borrowers for their role in defaulting. "placed in mortgages"...friggin financial-illiterate author. To be sure, lenders sold investors a bill-of-goods about the "aggregated debt" quality of MBSs but the original impetus was largely a democratic push to make more people homeowners. (even the ones that hadn't done their part to get there). I firmly support making more people homeowners but the right way to do that is to make more people financially literate and responsible, not by imposing mandates on the lenders. In my opinion, this is THE class that is sorely missing from high school requirements.

Financial Ed 101. Required for graduation. Taken in your spring semester right before you leave school.
--Job hunting
--salary expectations
--stocks
--loans/mortgages
--insurance
--credit cards
 
Finally starting to get price drop notifications on homes I have been following on Zillow. Heading for a long overdue correction in the housing market.
 
Finally starting to get price drop notifications on homes I have been following on Zillow. Heading for a long overdue correction in the housing market.
Very right about a long overdue correction. Houses got so expensive, many buyers couldn’t afford them on their incomes. Housing prices exceeded the ability of many average folks to pay. It was out of whack—hence the “correction.”
 
Housing markets labeled ‘high’ risk of a home price drop just spiked 73%—find your local market using this interactive map

It's very regional...

There's a good chart in the article. They're predicting a regionalized drop, with Texas, the South, the Plains, and most of the Midwest largely likely to escape a big drop in housing prices. On the other hand, much of the West Coast, No. Arizona, Idaho, Detroit, Cleveland, the Northeast, and Fort Walton/Destin, Florida are at a moderate or high risk for a very significant price decline.

"While it's fair to call this shift a housing correction, it's far too early to call this a housing bust or housing crash. Right now, we're watching the U.S. housing market try to find an equilibrium amid spiking mortgage rates. If things do get messy, the Federal Reserve could always step in and once again put downward pressure on mortgage rates.

That said, the cooling housing market has seen the odds of a home price decline jump. At least on a regional level."
 
I was buying some lumber for a small project from my one stop light town lumber yard. He said that their prices are always inverse of the interest rate. When it goes up, the price of lumber goes down. Interesting.
 
Bubba,

Are you finally getting around to building that deck around the hot tub out in front of your doublewide? My cousins will be jealous until their workers comp settlement comes in.
 
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Looking for the correction in Austin as my property assessment is $200k over what I could realistically sell my house for. Property tax protest is what got it to the $200k!
 
Looking for the correction in Austin as my property assessment is $200k over what I could realistically sell my house for. Property tax protest is what got it to the $200k!
Travis has always been squirrely on valuations...the house I had with an ex in the late 90's (north of 183) remained not too far north of what it was purchased for in '97. The spike in its valuation didn't start until a few years ago (maps.google suggests from the streetview that many improvements have been made). Meanwhile, the house I had in the Westlake area was surrounded by homes that STILL saw bidding wars even after the crash in the '07-'08 period...and the home I was in with a quarter-mil valuation has jumped close to seven figures.
 
Travis has always been squirrely on valuations...the house I had with an ex in the late 90's (north of 183) remained not too far north of what it was purchased for in '97. The spike in its valuation didn't start until a few years ago (maps.google suggests from the streetview that many improvements have been made). Meanwhile, the house I had in the Westlake area was surrounded by homes that STILL saw bidding wars even after the crash in the '07-'08 period...and the home I was in with a quarter-mil valuation has jumped close to seven figures.
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That plywood around my above ground pool isn't aging like I thought it would. :)
 
That plywood around my above ground pool isn't aging like I thought it would.

Bubba,

I told you to hold the line on your personal injury attorney. Obviously, you didn't so there wasn't enough left to spring for redwood. My cousins said if the plywood becomes a problem, reenforcing it with beer cans (not bottles) helps a lot. Stacking them with the pour hole up allows them to fill with water and adds weight for additional stability.

I believe them because the rise in used car prices has hit their business really hard. Not as easy to take a $300 clunker and get hit by a Mercedes as it used to be. I guess the recession really has hit Oklahoma hard.
 
I want a world of 2% interest rates and 2% inflation, yet 7% growth, in perpetuity.

Is that too much to ask?
 
And I want the sun to rise in the west tomorrow, and for my wife to suddenly realize my farts are humorous, melodious, and aromatically pleasing.

Is that too much to ask?
 

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