Path to making the CFP next year

NRHorn

NRHorn

2,500+ Posts
My thought-
1. Cancel Michigan next year and replace them with Portland State.
2. Cancel Colorado State add Hawaii
3. Keep ULM

I never have and do not agree that ‘undefeated’ is the most important factor in ranking a team.

Of course it matters , but if Bama drops a game to GA (as an example) yet a FSU team goes undefeated against a mediocre schedule… id rank Bama much higher than FSU.
Anyone outside of Tallahassee knows Bama rolls FSU.

Back to this year…. Vegas would give FSU points, probably Washington.
I bet they'd give UT 3 points vs Bama, 7.5 vs GA, 7 vs Mich
Oregon would be even.

So wheres the ‘best 4 teams’ moniker that the committee is pushing?
GA
MICH
ORE
TX
 
12 teams this year would even get in Mizzou, Ole Miss, OU, and Penn State, unless somebody like Iowa or OSU wins their CCG and jumps up.
 
we're replacing so many seniors/juniors that I think it's going to be very difficult to go 10-2 next year. It's not that the SEC is that much harder. Top end is, but still we just lose so much. Leaast Quinn is back. But we're losing all WRs/TE, most of the DLine and secondary. Ford. Doubt Brooks will be ready day 1. So I want to enjoy this year as much as possible.
 
If the field were 16, Aggie would finish 17 (and complain). If the field were 32, Aggie would finish 33 (and complain). If the field were 64, .....

Aggie gonna Aggie.
 
I realize the 12 team format makes the difference, my mistake in not wording this correctly.
To ensure TX achieves a top 4 spot, play an Aggie or KSU ( or SEC) non conference type schedule that guarantee 3 Ws.
Playing a team the caliber of Bama or next year’s Michigan matters very little if TX wins
 
I'd rather play the top teams and see where the ball bounces. Wimping out as path to the playoffs is not the Longhorn way, and never should be.

I hold out hope that once all of the conference champions and power-five 1-loss teams are in, the committee's evaluation of the rest of the teams (say, #8 to #15) will become a bit more holistic, with SOS starting to take on a bigger role.

For example, it would be very interesting to see what the committee does with a team that plays 3 top-10 teams (Michigan, Georgia, OU) in the regular season, going 2-1; has another random loss against a decent team (but not A&M, for the love of god); then loses the SEC CCG to a 4th top-10 team. Would the committee select that 3-loss team over a 2-loss team with a pedestrian SOS? They should, and we'll never know if they would until we (or someone else) gives them a chance.
 
NJlonghorn said:
I'd rather play the top teams and see where the ball bounces. Wimping out as path to the playoffs is not the Longhorn way, and never should be.

I hold out hope that once all of the conference champions and power-five 1-loss teams are in, the committee's evaluation of the rest of the teams (say, #8 to #15) will become a bit more holistic, with SOS starting to take on a bigger role.

For example, it would be very interesting to see what the committee does with a team that plays 3 top-10 teams (Michigan, Georgia, OU) in the regular season, going 2-1; has another random loss against a decent team (but not A&M, for the love of god); then loses the SEC CCG to a 4th top-10 team. Would the committee select that 3-loss team over a 2-loss team with a pedestrian SOS? They should, and we'll never know if they would until we (or someone else) gives them a chance.
Click to expand...
They need to go back to the BCS formula system to pick the top 12. It wasn’t perfect but it did reward SOS without bias.
 
I note there are 8 zero and one loss teams (excluding Tulane and Liberty). They all are playing this weekend except Ohio State. If Iowa and Okla St and Louisville were replaced this weekend by Ohio St, we would have a perfect 8 team playoff.
 
If Georgia loses and Texas wins, why would the committee keep Georgia and Bama in the CFP when they would potentially play again on a neutral field, just like today? Why repeat what we just learned? You have to be stupid to do that. I doubt people are this stupid.
 
I just rush delivered these to the CFP HQ

upload_2023-12-2_23-28-46.png
 
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