Obamania not catching on in Ohio?

Lets see what they are in another week. He's just now started spending more time there after his time in Texas last week. If we know anything this year its this polls are pretty worthless until almost the day of the primary...if then. Look at Wisconsin....the polls were close and people thought Hillary may could even pull the upset or at the least keep it very close. She then got blown out and the polls were totally off. if anything He's already made major dents into most Ohio polls as even of a few weeks ago

Hell...they havent even had the debate yet
 
because it was down to single digits and is now back up to double digits, and she is consistently polling in the 50s while Obama can do no better than 43, even after his Super Tuesday and Wisconsin 'bounce'. it doesn't appear that Hilary backers are flocking to Obama like others have indicated and there aren't nearly as many 'undecideds' as there were in Wisconsin. Obama dominated those who decided in the last two weeks in Wisconsin and that is what lead to the landslide.

I think Obama will be the Democratic nomine fwiw, but it's not as guaranteed as Obamaniacs want everyone to believe. He needs to win Texas to slam the door IMHO.
 
you are basing all this on one poll a week out? are all the other Ohio polls showing the same thing? So far I only see one updated showing that. Even then the primary is not till next Tuesday. Obama will win Texas IMO. Either way I think Ohio ends up being close. The bottom line is Hillary not only needs to win both but needs BIG wins in both. As Chuck Todd was saying on Meet the Press yesterday...she could even win Texas, Ohio, and PA by close margins and hardly make a dent into Obama's delegate lead. She needs a massive turnaround
 
You based your double digit remarks only on the Quinnipiac poll.

Quinnipiac 02/06 - 02/12 564 LV 55 34 Clinton +21.0

The above is the previous Quinnipac poll showing Clinton up 21% and now she is up 11%. Obama has never been in single digits in this poll. The RCP average now shows him down 8.8%.

I still I don't see how this shows that Obama "is not catching on."
 
He just needs Ohioians to begin to hope for change . To make them believe the audacity that increasing the tax on capital will bring a heavy manufacturing boom to Ohio.
 
The last Quinnipiac poll on 2/14 had Hillary up 21, so Obama's gained 10 points in that poll. Polls use different methods, so I doubt he lost three points in the two days after the Rasmussen poll showed him down 8.
 
The RCP average is 8.5 points. I have a feeling that number is going to get alot smaller when Ohioans hear about how she was crowing the "success" and virtues of NAFTA in 2002.

And Texas is now tied 8 days out. If the trend continues Obama will win at least one of those states.
 
the last Rasmussen polls of just a few days ago had it down to 8 with 12% undecided. A Univ of Cincinnati poll out from their polling center This morn had it down to 8 as well with a 4.5 % margin of error. He's made up ground, but its still too early to put much into any of this. Especially with a debate coming up in Ohio tomorrow
 
Obama will enter the convention with the delegate lead, but not with enough delegates to secure the nomination. Neither will have this locked up by then.

I believe as long as Hillary is withing shouting distance - and 160 delegates out of over 4000 definitely qualifies as that IMHO - then she'll continue to be a pain in the *** - especially if she wins Ohio and Pennsylvania.

Democrats need this to be over yesterday and really need obama's momentum to carry him to a larger than expected win in Texas.
 
when she loses Texas...she is not going to last to the convention

Her own camp including Bill have basically set it up that she has to win Ohio and Texas as her "last stand" (and the math in reality shows she needs to not only win but blowout Obama massively to even start chipping away at his lead)

Her campaign is already being seen as dead by many. If she loses Texas the calls for her to drop out are going to start coming from important people in the party

She's been losing superdelegates by the day almost as well

She is still fighting at this point and being her usual dirty self...but when push comes to shove...there has been some reports that have her not wanting to damage her future as a senator and the legacy of Bill as an ex-president (although I think he has done some of his own damage already) by taking this all the way to the convention if she cant win Texas and Ohio

Hell she could win TX, OH, and PA and still not make much a dent in Obama's lead unless she blows his *** away. Thats how much trouble she is in

If she doesnt win both Texas and Ohio...I dont see her staying in much longer. The support for her dragging the party through this all the way to the convention just isnt going to be there for her to even have a real chance
 
why isn't Obama getting more than 43% in any poll?

Hillary's lowest number in any poll is 47%.

clearly some undecideds are now for Obama, but he doesn't appear to be closing the gap at Hillary's expense. some who were favoring hillary have gone back to the fence it appears, but not to Obama.
 
Obama just started campaigning in Ohio. He was in Texas till now. See what happened there?

Obama is a great campaigner. People who see and listen to him overwhelmingly favor him. The CNN poll is Texas showed that he have a 20 point lead among voters who watched the last debate.
 
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