Newt Gingrich takes the lead in S.C. Poll Average

[MojoMan]

In the most recent Real Clear Politics poll average in South Carolina, calculated entirely before last night's debate on CNN, Newt Gingrich has taken a two point lead over Mitt Romney.
RCP South Carolina Poll Average

Newt Gingrich 32.4
Mitt Romney 30.4
Ron Paul 13.4
Rick Santorum 11.2
Rick Perry 3.0

And anyone who watched that debate knows that Gingrich will likely pick up at least a few more points as a result of his performance.

If Santorum finishes fourth behind Ron Paul, his money is going to dry up and it will be difficult for him to go on to Florida. And if Santorum drops out, that will also benefit Newt Gingrich.

For those of you not paying attention, this race is going to be a long slog, which will likely continue to be competitive until at least April, probably May and possibly even into June. The media "experts" who have nearly all been predicting a fast finish for this race are wrong, yet again.

 

[PhantomHorn]

Since the GOP primary rules have changed, there is no way for this to be a fast finish. The delegates are now proportional instead of the old winner take all.

 

[rickysrun]

 

[MojoMan]

In reply to:

---

---

 

[Michtex]

Go Blowhard Go! It would be great to see Obama against that skeeze. Obama will win in a route given the pronounced gender gap that will occur.

 

[MojoMan]

In reply to:

---

---

 

[Nuclear Bear]

In reply to:

---

---

 

[PhantomHorn]

One thing is for sure. The evangelical base isn't too bothered by Newts past.

Newt called his past moral failures "sin." Not "mistake" not "failure" but "sin" He did nothing worse than King David, who not only committed adultery, but committed murder to cover it up. God uses a repentant sinner, far more than someone with an untarnished record.

 

[Michtex]

In reply to:

---

---

 

[MojoMan]

In a poll conducted Friday night after the debates by the American Research Group, Newt Gingrich has surged to a 40-26 lead over Mitt Romney in South Carolina.
Gingrich 40%
Romney 26%
Paul 18%
Santorum 13%

If Santorum finishes fourth behind Ron Paul, he is going to be down for the count.

In reply to:

---

---

---

 

[MojoMan]

LOL. Here is the New York Times spin on this race (from the front page):

In reply to:

---

---

 

[Leftwith]

In reply to:

---

---

 

[Satchel]

As a liberal, Newt as the GOP standard bearer would please me.

 

[Roger35]

NBC is reporting that Newt has won SC.

 

[Dionysus]

In reply to:

---

---

 

[Crockett]

Dino -- really there are only two kinds of people, repentant sinners and unrepentant ones. It's a skilled politician, like Gingrich, to technically be repentant while at the same time appearing strong and unrepentant. "of all the nerve" plays a lot better politically, as South Carolina showed. Doing the Herman Cain revelation, denial, revelation, denial, partially admittanace dance that ultimately makes you look defensive, weak and uninspiring.