My 2013 Oscar Predictions.

[FAST FRED]

The "Best" in each category is where I predict the Oscar will go.

"My Second Place" is where I expect the Oscar will go, if my prediction of the winner is wrong.

"Dark Horse" is a nominee that I think is genuinely worthy, but I'd be surprised to see the Academy vote the Oscar that way.

"My Personal Favorite" is the movie or performance which I personally liked best of all those nominated in that category this year.

So here goes.




Best Picture: "Argo" wins.

My Second Place: "Silver Linings Playbook."

Dark Horse: "Lincoln."

My Personal Favorites of the Academy's BP nominees in descending order:

"Silver Linings Playbook."
"Argo."
"Les Miserables."
"Lincoln."
"Django Unchained."
"Life of Pi."
"Zero Dark Thirty."
"Amour."
"Beasts of the Southern Wild."

JMO.




Best Director: Steven Spielberg wins for "Lincoln."

My Second Place: David O. Russell for "Silver Linings Playbook."

Dark Horse: Ang Lee for "Life of Pi."

My Personal Favorite: David O. Russell for "Silver Linings Playbook, plus Ben Affleck should have been nominated for "Argo."




Best Leading Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis wins for "Lincoln."

My Second Place: Hugh Jackman for "Les Miserables."

Dark Horse: Bradley Cooper for "Silver Linings Playbook" or Denzel Washington for "Flight."

My Personal Favorite: Bradley Cooper for "Silver Linings Playbook."




Best Leading Actress: Jennifer Lawrence wins for "Silver Linings Playbook."

My Second Place: Jessica Chastain" for "Zero Dark Thirty."

Dark Horse: Emanuella Riva for "Amour."

My Personal Favorite: Jennifer Lawrence for "Silver Linings Playbook" or Jessica Chastain for "Zero Dark Thirty."




Best Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones wins for "Lincoln."

My Second Place: Robert De Niro for "Silver Linings Playbook."

Dark Horse: Christoph Waltz for "Django Unchained."

My Personal Favorite: Alan Arkin for "Argo" or Robert De Niro for "Silver Linings Playbook."




Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway wins for "Les Miserables."

My Second Place: Sally Field for "Lincoln."

Dark Horse: Jacki Weaver for "Silver Linings Playbook."

My Personal Favorite: Anne Hathaway for "Les Miserables."


Those are the six "main" Oscar categories.

I'll also guess that these "minor" category nominees will be winners:


Animated Feature Film: I think "Brave" wins. "Wreck-It Ralph" is my second guess.

Production Design: "Les Miserables" wins. "Lincoln" is my second guess.

Costume Design: "Anna Karenina."

Cinematography: "Life of Pi" wins. "Skyfall" is my second guess.

Visual Effects: "Life of Pi."

Film Editing: "Argo" wins. "Zero Dark Thirty" is my second guess. William Goldenberg edited both these CIA film stories, so I'm pretty sure he'll get a golden statuette.

Makeup and Hairstyling: "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey" wins. "Les Miserables" is my second guess.

Music (Original Score): "Life of Pi."

Music (Original Song): "Skyfall."

Sound Editing: "Zero Dark Thirty" wins. "Life of Pi" is my second guess.

Sound Mixing: "Les Miserables" wins." Recording all the singing live while filming was innovative and risky; here's the reward.

Writing (Adapted Screenplay): "Argo" wins. "Lincoln" is my second guess.

Writing (Original Screenplay): "Django Unchained" wins. "Zero Dark Thirty" is my second guess and "Amour" is my dark horse.

Foreign Language Film: "Amour."

Documentary Feature: "Searching for Sugar Man."


I've seen all of the nominees in each of the first 6 "main" categories and each of the winners I've chosen (and many of the other nominees) in the "minor" categories I've predicted.

I didn't see some of the Documentaries or Short Films up for awards this year yet, so I've abstained in three of those categories.

And I might change some of these predictions and would edit this post to reflect that before the awards ceremony.

We'll see how it goes on February 24th.

Your thoughts?

 

[l00p]

Thanks for this. It puts the films I still need to see in a tidy list to follow. You did pretty good on this before, right?

 

[Chest Rockwell]

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[Dionysus]

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[l00p]

Me too! Netflix is open right now so it's too easy not to.

 

[NBHorn7]

I think loop should have won for best actor in a non supporting role in his magnificant performance in "The Rant
Of Senor Comrade Loop" now showing in the Cactus Cafe
forum of Hornfans. It's the Racy Madonna pictures thread.

 

[l00p]

Don't do it, people!!! It's a trap. That thread has virus like Russian bride ordered on bargain website. Don't doitski.

 

[Dionysus]

We watched Searching for Sugar Man tonight. Easily one of the best things I have seen in a while. Outstanding story.

When they got to the events of 1998 my mind was blown. That was so freaking cool.

 

[FAST FRED]

If I were the only person voting, "Silver Linings Playbook" would win almost everything for which it's nominated.

I may yet change some of or all of my predictions to reflect that.

Or not.

Affleck not being nominated as Best Director makes "Argo" winning Best Picture suspect, IMHO.

My personal favorites are firm, but I'm still cogitating about my predictions on how the Academy will vote.

 

[Texanne]

My husband rented "Searching for Sugarman" on PPV and said it was outstanding. I intend to watch it.

 

[FAST FRED]

I made a couple of changes, some major.

 

[s102r18]

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[s102r18]

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[FAST FRED]

Predicted 17 out of 21 correctly.

Pretty good guessing.

Missed on Director, Supporting Actor, Production Design and Makeup/Hairstyling.

But, in those four categories, two of my second place picks and two of my dark horses, were the Oscar winners.

So, at least, I covered that way.

Lucky me.

I thought host Seth MacFarlane was OK and better than several recent hosts.

His "joke" about Booth getting in Lincoln's head was tasteless.

But most of his comments made me smile.

The show moved well.

I felt Michelle Obama was out of place as an official Oscar presenter, but she looked lovely and was gracious.

 

[l00p]

FF, your record is better than that of so many other prognosticators it's not even funny. You are my go to guy for things film. Thanks for you passion and for sharing it with us.