Mizzou Loss Not Good For Us

NBHorn7

NBHorn7

Pimp Daddy
We needed Missouri ranked as highly as possible coming into Austin Monday night for a signature win. Also now they will be more wary against us.
 
Agree. The way I see it, the NCAA will take 5 or 6 teams. We need the Top 4 teams to always beat the teams below them - save us.
 
I can't see this conference getting more than 5 teams into the
NCAA Tourney. It could be only 4 depending on how the season plays out.

Kansas,Missouri, and Baylor are given. Kansas State has the upper hand for the the number 4 spot at the moment. Excluding Tech everybody else is in a dogfight. The x factor for these teams is winning against the big three teams and not losing to Tech. Okie St. helped themselves by winning an x factor game.
 
The Big 12 will get 5-6 teams into the big dance this year. Kansas, Baylor, and Mizzou are automatics. Some combination of KSU, UT, ISU, A&M, and OU will also get in depending on how the season plays out. As for UT, a five game winning streak, which although is possible, but not probable, would put us in great position to make the tournament.
 
With our missing shots to knock of Kansas, Baylor, and now Mizzu- the 13 year streak in the NCAA tournament is now officially over. Okie State and Iowa State both got the big wins that Texas lacks. I just do not see us doing anything but cratering at this juncture. It is mildly sad but at least we will not see Texas pulls its normal early flame out in the tournament.
hookem.gif
 
I hope we can squeeze into the Tourney because of this.

The Link



Every time they flash this up at the Tournament it helps our program. We are tied for fourth in current consecutive appearances and about to crack the top ten for all time consecutive appearances.

I'll take a possible early exit to keep this going!
 
Texas will not make the NCAA tourney this year. We are 69th in RPI and I'm guessing we finish the season at best 5-3 which will pretty much solidify that ranking. That means we could possibly host a game in the first round of the NIT.
 
Add Iowa St. to those getting in, 6-3 in conference and relatively easy schedule remaining.

Aggy gets eliminated this Saturday at Manhattan. Hopefully this will take away the will to compete against us on Monday night as a loss will eliminate us. On the other hand most likely all their injured players will return for one last chance to stick it to UT and a SEC chant.

If we slip by Aggy and beat Tech at home it sets up a critical game for both teams when KSU comes to Austin on Feb. 11,.
KSU would be coming in most likely at 6-5 and a win by the Horns would make both teams 6-6 with a split in the season series.

After that it's a tossup for what I still think is the last spot for the Tourney between KSU, OU, and UT. Okie State's bad season record keeps them out of the mix.
 
Currently 66th in RPI and with aggy being 145th I doubt that win last night helped us at all. Texas plays good teams close and bad teams closer. This team will not get in.
 
Uh, don't look now but if we can finish 9-9 in conference we are probably in. Might need one win in the conference tourney.

Kansas State has a murder's row finish. The way it looks now we either get in or the Big12-2+2=Big12 only gets 4 teams in.
 
My quick summary and 2 cents:

(oops, edited to correct a worse UNC loss than I earlier posted at an 11 point loss --- it was a 19 point loss, sorry)


Texas losses for the season:

November
(-5) Ore St 95-100 (OT) @E.Rutherford, NJ
(-3) NC St 74-77 @E.Rutherford, NJ

December
(-19) UNC 63-82 @Chapel Hill, NC

January
(-6) ISU 71-77 @Ames, IA
(-11) Mizz 73-84 @Columbia, MO
(-4) KSU 80-84 @Manhattan, KS
(-3) KU 66-69 Austin
(-5) BU 71-76 @Waco, TX
(-1) Mizz 66-67 Austin

Only two losses were 3+ end of game possession differentials, to UNC and Mizz, both possible final four teams.

5 of the 9 losses were to top 10 teams.

The other 4 losses were to OreSt, NCSt, ISU, KSU, losses of
5, 3, 6, and 4 points, all on the road.

Only one loss was at home, by 3 points, to KU, a possible final four team.

All other losses were 2 (or less) possession end of game differentials, and
were away games.



"Quality" wins for the season (though all at home):

December
(+12) Temple 77-65 Austin

January
(+7) ISU 62-55 Austin

February
(+11) KSU 75-64 Austin



Remaining games:
@ OU
@ OSU
BU Austin
@ TT
OU Austin
@ KU

SHOULD go 4-2, maybe 3-3 (four are road games, afterall).

If 4-2 (or better):
Right now, at 16-9 (6-6), going 20-11 (10-8) (for regular season, and then either 20-12 (a 1st round BigXII loss might make a bid iffy), 21-12, 22-12, or 23-11 after the BigXII tourney should do it for a bid.

If 3-3 (or worse, worse is probably a no-bid):
19-12 (9-9) .... 19-13 (1st round loss in the Big XII tourney after ending the season 3-3 --- no-bid), 20-13, 21-13, bubble with a crappy seed, or 22-12, as conference tournament winners (yeah, I know) not a bubble but still a crappy seed.


So, it looks like to me that the "standard" 20-game win season is the mark for Texas to really have to get to, and is probably both necessary and sufficient this year.

Hook 'em
 
The saturday win over KSU pushed us inside the RPI top 50 for the first time, as #49. Yesterday's win at OU has pushed us up to #42 in RPI.

Slowly beginning to fall to the inner side of the bubble. Pretty much in, unless we screw up badly and don't get more than 2 wins in the next 6 games including the first round of the B12 tournament.

R.J.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Weekly Prediction Contest

* Predict HORNS-AGGIES *
Sat, Nov 30 • 6:30 PM on ABC

Recent Threads

Prediction Results Threads

2024 Schedules

Back
Top