Lock or no lock?

[orangecat1]

weird, ESPN still has us on their "bubble watch", explains the Mizzou loss didn't hurt, but leaves the door open that we might not get selected. Huh?

I would have moved us to lock status. Do they look at the factors?

6-4 last ten, rpi high 40s, SOS 20s. Why is that not a lock?

The 6-4 over the last ten is more impressive than it looks because everybody is gonna have at least one recent loss except for conference champions.

So the 6-4 is actually comparable to 7-3 in the regular season. That's a very favorable record. I actually think there's a chance of getting an 11 seed.

 

[ViperHorn]

Only beating 1 team who is currently ranked is going to hurt. Playing close usually doesn't count, but finding 67 teams better than Texas this year is going to be hard.

 

[georgecostanza]

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[orangecat1]

rpi is now 48, SOS 19. These are very good numbers, imo. I don't think the SOS can change anymore, and I'm thinking the rpi is set as well.

Look at the last ten, the only thing you could say negatively is why did you lose by double digits to OSU on the road?

All other losses were to outstanding teams, Baylor, Kansas, MIzzou,

Wins over #43 Kstate-double digits and 33 Iowa State-6 points.

My prediction, I'm sticking to an 11 seed.

 

[Chest Rockwell]

If LaTech wins the WAC and Ole Miss win the SEC, we probably get pushed out. The PAC12 is also a wild-card as 2 bubble teams are playing for the auto bid. Does that conference get 5 bids?

Bottom line - we're not a lock but we're currently on the right side of the bubble.

 

[Rex Kramer]

We are a lock.

 

[blonthang]

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[bierce]

Four wins against teams that are safely in the field and seeded 5-9. Only two losses to teams with rpi over 100, none to team with rpi over 140. I don't think any other bubble teams can claim four wins like that, and most have worse losses.

0-8 against teams that are in seeds 1-3 shouldn't weigh Texas down, especially considering how 4 of those games came down to the last minute or even last possession.

In, and not even in a play in game.

 

[IndyHorn]

I keep reading "in for now" so certainly not a lock. It looks like one bullet will be avoided as Memphis is winning big over Marshall. FYI, if a 12-seed beats a 5-seed, the 2nd round match-up is against, presumably, the 4-seed, not the 2-seed. Texas needs to root for Arizona to win the Pac-10 to keep that league to two bids. Then we want UNC to whip NC State. And we want Kentucky to win the SEC conference, which I think is damn near guaranteed. I think Texas squeeks in, but we likely play in a play in game, and with Rick Barnes in March, we maybe don't get to the real first round!

 

[Third Coast]

Definitely in and 11-13 seed in my opinion.

 

[DINO22]

Texas is in!
Hookem'

 

[Seattle4UT]

Texas should be in. I like #8/#9.

 

[Branyon]

I wish J Brown had not been thrown out of the NCST game at season's start. A win then would have Texas in for certain.

 

[Dirty Martin]

Lock. Probably a 12 seed.

 

[cochamps]

11 or 12 is my guess. So yes, I think we're in.

 

[NBHorn7]

Most likely a 12 seed as I have said earlier in threads, that's my story and I'm sticking to it.

 

[Walking Boss]

Gonna be close with Colorado st. getting in.

 

[Chest Rockwell]

Iona?? Seriously?

 

[Walking Boss]

Not a bad seed or matchup. 11 seed is higher than expected.

 

[Walking Boss]

Not a bad seed or first game matchup. 11 seed is higher than expected.

 

[blonthang]

Iowa State must feel good. Not.

As #8 against #9 UConn (yeah, they're a bit down, but they ARE UConn). And if they do happen to slip by the Huskies, they get, uh, No.1 overall seed UK.

I'll take an 11 seed any day compared to that.

 

[orangecat1]

well, I'm certainly happy that I was absolutely right on, and I actually like the draw. Even though I've not seen Cincinatti play, I'm happy to be a clear underdog, and as long as we keep it close for a half, I'm thrilled.