KSU at Texas

BabHorn

10,000+ Posts
Kansas State has been up and down this season. The Wildcats bring a 4-6 Big 12 record into their game with Texas, who is riding a five game winning streak. KSU is tough at home, with a 3-2 Big 12 record compared to 1-4 on the road. Starting with Baylor, the Horns had four double digits wins before pulling out a double overtime win over Kansas on Saturday 85-82. Horns will be looking to re-establish their defensive intensity after allowing KU to finish with 42% from the field, and 48% in the first half. That’s the first time since the Horns started the winning streak that a team has completed over 40% of their FGs against the Horns.

While Ashley Sweat[#04, 6-2 Sr. F] is the main player for the Wildcats, she gets support from Brittany Chambers [#2, 5-8 Fr. G] and Taelor Karr [#12, 5-8 Fr. G]. All three are averaging in double digit scoring in conference play. Sweat leads the way with 16.2 ppg. Chambers adds 11.4 ppg and Karr’s contribution is 10.8 ppg. Sweat and Chambers are the two Wildcats with over 100 FG attempts with 132 and 112 respectively. They, along with Karr, will be ones the Horns will be most focused on. Although Kari Kincaid[#41, 5-10 Sr. G] is the most accurate long distance threat. Chambers (5.9 3s attempted per game) and Karr (5.4 3s attempted per game) will take the most 3s during a game. Jalana Childs[#33, 6-2 Soph. F] is the fifth starter. She is the fourth leading scorer at 7.6 ppg. Kincaid (41.4%) and Sweat (40.9%) are the only KSU players shooting over 40%. Sweat has taken twice as many FTs as any other player and her 44 made FTs are just short of 3 times as many as any other has made. Her FT % of 78.6 (44-56) is second on the team to Chambers 93.8% (15-16). Chambers leads in rebounding with 6.3 rpg while Karr adds 5.2 and Sweat 4.8. They share the ball well, with four of the five starters having at least 11 assists each. Sweat’s 7 blocks lead the team.

A ten player rotation lost a player [Kelsey Hill, 5-5 Jr. G] before the season to an ACL injury and a second player [Alina Voronenko, 6-2 Soph. G/F] early in the pre conference games to another injury. At this time, the Wildcats are playing with eight players. As could be expected, all play with Shalin Spani [#23, 6-0 Jr. G] and Branshea Brown [#34, 6-2 Soph. F] both over 13 minutes a game. Mariah White [#22, 5-7 Fr. G] plays 9.4 minutes per game. As could be expected, four starters play over 33 minutes per game. KSU will run a slow down game, trying to conserve their starters. Their highest scoring game was a 73 to 67 win over ISU. Their lowest scoring game was 37-33 win over Missouri. Most games have been in the high 50s.


Texas is led by Brit with a 15.2 ppg. Ashleigh is second in scoring at 13.2 ppg while Kat is averaging 10.5. These are the three Horns in double digit scoring. Cokie (9.1 ppg) and Erika (8.7 ppg) are fourth and fifth in scoring. With four Horns averaging at least 8 shots a game, opponents will have to pick their poison. Cokie has been coming on recently with three straight double digit scoring games capped by the last one with 18 pts. Her 56.1 FG% leads three Horns hat are over 50% in FG—Kristen at 55.6% and Ashleigh at 51.5%. As a team, the Horns have steadily improved to their current 44.1 FG%.

Horns have five players capable of scoring from BTA, as befits the top 3pt shooting team by percentage in conference play. Kat (15-41, 36.7%), Brit (16-39, 41.0%), Erika (13-33, 39.4%), Ashleigh (11-21, 52.4%) and Earnie (4-13, 30.8%) have all hit clutch 3s for the Horns. Horns have 4 of the top 13 3pt shooters by percentage in Ashleigh (1st), Brit (6th), Erika (8th), and Kat (13th). In number of 3s made per game, Brit ranks 10th, Kat 11th and Erika 14th. Brit leads the team in getting to the FT line, having taken 58 FTs and made 44 (75.9%). Five Horns are over 80% from the FT line, led by Erika’s 94.1 (16-17).

Like KSU, the Horns move the ball around for the open shot well, with four Horns having at least 16 assists, topped by Ashleigh’s 30 assists. Four others have between 6 and 9 assists. Ashley leads in blocks with 31 while Cokie’s 6 blocks is second. Brit’s 16 steals leads three Horns who have at least 10 steals in conference play. Three others have at least 7 steals.KSU is fifth in the nation in 3pt FG% at 39.5 while Texas is 14th at 38.1. KSU is 15th nationally with 8 3s made per game while Texas’ 6.9 is tied for 36th.
Projected starting lineup, based on the past five games:

[pre]Texas Kansas State

Ashleigh(5-8) Kincaid(5-10)
Brit(6-0) Chambers(5-8)
Kat(6-2) Karr(5-8)
Earnie(6-1) Sweat(6-2)
Ashley(6-4) Childs(6-2)


Horns will have a significant height advantage as well as a deeper and more productive bench. KSU plays two players at least 33 minutes per game and two others 35 mpg. Horns have two at 30-31 mpg and another at 29 mpg. Fatigue will be an important part if the Horns can counter KSU’s ability to take the air out of the ball. Whoever is guarding Kincaid will have to be careful to not leave her alone outside the arc or she will drain the 3. KSU has Sweat to work inside but she can hit from BTA. Whether playing zone or man to man, Horns will have to be very much aware of the KSU players waiting outside the arc. I would expect the Horns to go inside a lot, especially with Cokie in the game. While Ashley is showing much improvement on offense, Cokie has another opportunity to show off her offensive skills. BU’s Griner had 8 blocks in their game against KSU. If KSU challenges inside, Ashley will have a block party all by herself.


TEAM STATISTICS UT KSU
--------------------------------------------------

SCORING................. 768 573
Points per game....... 76.8 57.3
Scoring margin........ +7.0 -1.6
FIELD GOALS-ATT......... 266-603 202-535
Field goal pct........ .441 .378
FG made per game...... 26.6 20.2
FG ATT per game....... 60.3 53.5
2-PT FG ATT............. 204-445 136-345
2-pt FG made per game. 20.4 13.6
2-pt FG ATT per game.. 44.5 34.5
3 POINT FG-ATT.......... 62-158 66-190
3-point FG pct........ .392 .347
3-pt FG made per game. 6.2 6.6
3-pt FG ATT per game.. 15.8 19.0
FREE THROWS-ATT......... 174-254 103-143
Free throw pct........ .685 .720
F-Throws made per game 17.4 10.3
F-Throws ATT per game. 25.4 14.3
REBOUNDS................ 399 318
Rebounds per game..... 39.9 31.8
Rebounding margin..... +3.4 -2.9
ASSISTS................. 126 94
Assists per game...... 12.6 9.4
TURNOVERS............... 153 119
Turnovers per game.... 15.3 11.9
Turnover margin....... +0.5 +1.6
Assist/turnover ratio. 0.8 0.8
STEALS.................. 76 52
Steals per game....... 7.6 5.2
BLOCKS.................. 54 15
Blocks per game....... 5.4 1.5
ATTENDANCE.............. 30243 22131
Home games-Avg/Game... 5-6049 5-4426

SCORE BY PERIODS: 1st 2nd OT OT2 Total
-------------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- -----
Texas............... 343(34.3) 379(37.9) 26 20 - 768
Kansas State........ 266(26.6) 307(30.7) 573[/pre]


Look for Texas to run and KSU to slow it down. Both teams depend on the 3. Of Texas’ FG attempts, 26% of them are 3s. For KSU, that percentage is 35.5%. Both teams could easily take over 20 3s each. If Texas gets to the FT line as normal, KSU will be in foul trouble. Texas is averaging 17 FTs a game while KSU average just over 10 FT attempts a game. Texas can weather fouls better than KSU, one reason KSU plays at a slower tempo. Texas should dominate on the boards but KSU has been able to stay close on rebounds when they play their game. Controlled speed will be Texas’ best friend. Both teams roughly are getting an assist on half their made shots. Expect excellent ball passing to set up shots for the open shooter from both clubs.

The men’s game starts an hour later than the women’s, so I’m expecting KVET 1300 AM to carry the game in the Austin area although Craig Way may be in Columbia, MO to call that game.

Doesn’t look like there will be TV for this one. But it is in Austin, so no TV is okay.

Don’t forget that February is Hoops for Hunger month. Fans are requested to bring canned goods to donate.

Fans 18 or younger get to enjoy free face painting, court time, and inflatables inside the Cooley Pavilion starting an hour and a half before tipoff.
 
If that's the way KSU matches up we should play Kat at PF and Earnie at wing.

Both players are basically combo forwards anyway, although I'd classify them both at SF due to 3-point ability and neither having a complete array of post moves. But either can play post too and whoever's got a guard on her should be getting ball in the low block whenever possible.
 
I don't put the projected players in any particular order so it's hard to say who will matchup with whom, other players will rotate as circumstances dictate--substitutions, switchs on D, etc.

For whatever reason, I seem to think Earnie is stronger and more physical than Kat. I think, if Earnie starts off on Sweat, she will be wearing out Sweat more than Kat would. I doubt that they will have Sweat on Kat defensively as that would leave a very short player on Earnie.
 
i like Earnie or Britt to guard Sweat. they both have the size and speed to defend her....plus Britt has the long arms to defend the 3.

perimeter defense is definitely important in this game. can't let K-State get hot from BTA.
 
NIce win. Kat was on fire and Cokie is getting better game by game. One question: Is Deb Patterson losing her sanity? Her behavior the entire game bordered on psychotic.
 
I too, thought Deb Patterson was a drama queen tonight, but she did have some very nice things to say about Texas in the post game presser.

Scroll down:The Link
 
It was not a pretty first half for us, but WOW! 70 something % shooting in the second half? Worried about consistency much? I say bring on the Ags. We need to Woman up and beat the hell out of A and M.
 

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