Joe Lunardi has lost his mind

W

Wulaw Horn

1,000+ Posts
In his first bracketology he has syracuse as a 2 seed, Gonzaga as a 2 seed and Texas as a 3 seed (updated yesterday night)

He says that bracketology is not ever based upon projection but what a team has accomplished.

What are Gonzaga's great wins that match up to beating UCLA, at Wisconsin and basically at Nova as well as some decent mid level wins?

And syracuse hasn't beaten a ranked team (unless you count memphis depending on the poll) and they have wins against name programs but not great teams in Kansas and Florida this year. Those teams (this year) are long on name and short on ability. Decent wins, but nothing special.

To think that with no great scalps on the wall, but losses to Cleveland State and Portland State you would see Syracuse or Gonzaga on a 2 line is absolutely absurd.

His 1's are Pitt, UNC, Oklahoma and UConn, not surprising in any way. I'm hopeful we can get Oklahoma's 1 seed.
 
I'm pretty sure his Bracketology was released prior to Gonzaga's loss to Portland St. last night, so that BAD loss wouldn't be taken into account yet. The same can be said for our win quality win last night in Madison.

Even so, I don't necessarily disagree with you. Right now, UNC, Pitt, and UConn are clearly #1 seeds. I guess OU would get the fourth #1 simply based on their undefeated record. After that, you are really splitting hairs with a bunch of teams on the #2/#3 seed line. We are right in that mix. It's only December, so it's probably fair to say that Lunardi didn't put forth his best effort. Give the guy a break. It's Christmas.

Let's assume we win in Fayetteville. That would finish our non-conference schedule at 12-2 with no bad losses and a few quality wins.

An 11-5 conference record would put us at 23-7 (11-5) for the year. I think that's a #3 seed. That would allow for losses in Waco, College Station, Norman, Lawrence, and one other unexpected loss. Certainly a reasonable goal at this point.

Anything better than 11-5 in conference and we can start talking about #2 seed possibilities.
 
Yes, this was up earlier yesterday, before Gonzaga lost.

That was a bad loss, but they took UConn to overtime, and handled Tennessee pretty easily. They also smacked Maryland, which had just smacked Michigan State.

They play Tennessee again, and Memphis. That's pretty much it. If they don't go unbeaten in the league, it's going to hurt them as far as a 1 or 2 seed goes.
 
Once upon a time, Gonazaga was ranked number 6 in the country and the AP gave them a 6 seed in the tourney. They are not and will not ever be in the discussion realistically for a one seed, as long as they are in the conference they are in (imo).

I know they play a pretty decent non-conference schedule, but it is not any harder than UT's for example.

I didn't realize that about the time it was posted so that makes some sense I guess. But having Syracuse on the 2 seed line, right now, is criminal.

And I'm going to be highly pissed if we lose games in Lawrence, College Station, Norman and Waco. There is no way that this Texas team should go in there and lose those 4 games, no way. A&M is absolutely nothing special. Kansas is a fraction of their normal selves and Baylor is pretty good, but not as good as us. But that bracketology doesn't project.

Syracuse might end up as a 2 seed, if they play really well in the big east. But it would have to be for future work not up to this point in time, b/c when I look at that schedule I see no great accomplishment.

Bad work by Lunardi, christmas time or not. I expect better from him as I think he's one of the best of his kind.
 
If we lost all four of those games that would be highly underacheiving in my opinion. It could happen that way, but I won't like it.
 
The opportunity is there for a 2 and even a 1 seed depending on the conference record, 11 wins probably means a 3, 12 wins a good chance at a 2 and 13 or more a definite 2 seed and legit shot at a 1 seed. The Big XII champ will likely get a 1 seed and 13 wins should win the conference (though as strong as OU is it may take 14).
 
Of course we can. There's not a game left on the schedule that we can't win (until that Regional Final vs. UNC, anyway).
 
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