Getting to the 3 or 4 seed line

[FWHORN]

The Horns are sitting pretty for a 5 or 6 seed even if they go 3-3 over these last 6 games (assuming a win or two in the conf. tourny). With road games at ISU, KU and OU, 3-3 would not be bad and is the most likely result. That said, the Horns have a chance at sneaking into the 4 and maybe even the three line depending on how they do. 4-2 or 5-1 gives a great shot at a 4 seed and 6-0 would put the 3 line (and with a few breaks even the 2 line) into play. It is amazing that Texas sits just one game behind KU in the standings and that a protected seed is not out of the question meaning first round games in San Antonio.

 

[blonthang]

IIRC, the consensus discussion on this board a few games into this season was essentially this:

"If the Horns can get to 20 wins, and 0.500 or better in the Big XII, they'll probably get a good look at a shot at the NCAAs."

Right now, at 20-5, 9-3 in Big XII with 6 regular season games left, they're already there. Cool.

I mean, even if all four tires blow out and the engine blows up, and they lose 6 + 1st round Big XII, they'd be 20-12 and 9-9 in the Big XII. Absolute worst, worst case, but probably still a bubble team.

Win over say TCU, Tceh, Baylor, lose the others, that's 23-9 (season incl. tourn.), 12-6 (conf. reg. season), they're in, probably about where they are projected right now (~5 seed).

Win those three, steal one from ISU, KU, or OU, and win at least 1st round of Big XII, that's 25-8, 13-5, guessing a 3-4 seed.

Not going to project above that; let's be realistic, but then...if... a seed in the 3,4,5,6 range all comes down to the first round draw and matchups.

This team is probably still too young and inexperienced to go beyond the 1st round (maaaaaybe 2nd round) of the NCAAs.

But if they stay healthy, get good grades, don't jump to the pros, next year they could be really, really (TJ Ford era) good.

Hook 'em