California Dems

[Horn69]

CNN and all their glory just started splashing Exit Poll numbers on the screen - and their first category is by races.

Obama led in Whites and Blacks; HC in Hispanics and Asians.

Wouldn't that translate into a victory by Obama? Didn't catch all the %'s but Hispanics (or Latinos as they said) was 20% of the state and Asians were 10% leaving 70% to the two predominant races that Obama leads in.

Some of you math majors help me.

Hook'em!!!

 

[Fried JJ Pickles]

Asians don't vote.

The turnout rate for Asians is actually lower than the turnout rate for high school dropouts.

 

[Bottom Line]

I believe the advantage Obama had in white voters was less then 5%.

BL

 

[sak]

If you look at the exit poll split on CNN, you can see that 53% of the voters were white and 29% were Hispanic. Blacks were only 7%. Others (mainly Asians) were higher, at 11%. The reason why Hillary will win CA is that Hispanics went to Hillary by a 2:1 ratio over Obama. Obama's advantage with White voters were only about 5% or so. Hispanics might have saved this election for Hillary.

 

[Horn69]

But if White Voters are > any of the other races, then that 5% would be significant, right?

Hook'em!!!

 

[RyanUTAustin]

I just looked at some county's in California.

I am from Santa Clara which is very populated with Asians and older female voters...Barack is getting beaten 57-35

He is also losing Los Angeles pretty handlily, which is a surprise for me. 58-31

 

[Used2btexaslover]

No, HRC was expected to take LA, Obama is more popular up north.

 

[RyanUTAustin]

Obama will lose California with the popular vote.

It will be big to see what happens with the break down of the delegates.

I think Obama will come out on top tonight in delegates.

If he can overcome Hillary in Missouri it will be HUGE!

Plenty more votes coming in for Obama in big cities in Missouri.

 

[Horn69]

So, if Sak's numbers are correct:

Obama gets 29% white, 9 Hispanic, 4% blacks and 6% Asians/Others for total of 48%.

HC gets 24% white, 20% Hispanic, 2% blacks and 5% Asians for total of 51%.

Can HornFans project Hillary as the winner?

Hook'em!!!

 

[sak]

We can. Hillary is going to win CA. With main-in ballots heavily in her favor, anywhere exit shows advantage Clinton, she is going to win.

 

[RyanUTAustin]

I am not sure it really matters at this point.

Looks like it will just go on.

It is a tie and advantage Obama with $

 

[JohnnyM]

and those exit polls don't take into account mail-in ballots, correct? Those are likely heavily in favor of HRC. Obama's surge was too late for many of those voters.

 

[sak]

I agree that it is going to go all the way. And the longer it goes, advantage Obama.

 

[afat]

I don't understand the current 10% for Edwards. Are they only counting mail in ballots? Don't they know he dropped out?

 

[sak]

I am guessing mail-in ballots gets counted first, which is the reason for huge early leads for Hillary.

 

[RyanUTAustin]

I don't get that either?

Why was he even on the ballot today?

Absentee's I can understand but having him on the ballot still would be BS.

Obama just pulled past HRC in Missouri.

 

[Handler XIII]

Clinton won Cali

 

[sak]

It is too late to change ballots, so he will be there. But a vote for him will be wasted as no delegates will be alloted to him.