H
Hu_Fan
Guest
Ukraine: A Prize Neither Russia Nor the West Can Afford to Win
This is not a surface view of simple geopolitical arithmetic, it is a 7-layer cake of economic analysis of trade and economic relations between Ukraine and Russia with graphs and focused clarification. The point: there is an interdependence between the two countries, and is more than simply a political matter of 'druthers' based on sentiment. There are real economic matters at hand. To go with human nature and 'politics.'
This morning, on "Morning Joe" (MSNBC) guest was Mika's father (Prof) Zbigniew Brzezinski. He pretty much said the same thing. Necessary for a guarantee there will not be a Nato Ukraine, for any reasonable workable outcome. I take he's speaking from years of experience in the field.
Nobody (US-EU-West, Ukraine, Russia) wins if "Ukraine as Poland." Explains why.
Nobody wins if "Ukraine as Malaya Rossiya": it would suck Russia dry, bad for Russia and bad for Ukraine.
The tenable position is "Ukraine as Finland," and explains. Here's a graphic table that outlines what is detailed in the report. I found it interesting and objective. A lot less emotional bias than I read even in Wall Street Journal, which I just cancelled after too many neocon op-ed pieces on the topic. I'm now a man without a country living on an island of my own objectivity: neither a flaming progressive liberal, nor a super patriotic neocon in love with Pax Romana.. er.. Pax Americana!. So can't embrace NY Times or WSJ completely.
Mises Institute and Brookings most often produce views I can digest with plausibility and understanding. This was one.
On the table below, I can embrace the middle position of Ukraine as Finland in True Finlandization with 'Russia condition." As to Russia being 'antagonistic' I accept that in so far as it means antagonistic toward unipolar superpower rule, which I am also antagonistic toward whether that power is wielded by the US, Russia, China, Japan, UK, Germany, France or anyone else.
This is not a surface view of simple geopolitical arithmetic, it is a 7-layer cake of economic analysis of trade and economic relations between Ukraine and Russia with graphs and focused clarification. The point: there is an interdependence between the two countries, and is more than simply a political matter of 'druthers' based on sentiment. There are real economic matters at hand. To go with human nature and 'politics.'
This morning, on "Morning Joe" (MSNBC) guest was Mika's father (Prof) Zbigniew Brzezinski. He pretty much said the same thing. Necessary for a guarantee there will not be a Nato Ukraine, for any reasonable workable outcome. I take he's speaking from years of experience in the field.
Nobody (US-EU-West, Ukraine, Russia) wins if "Ukraine as Poland." Explains why.
Nobody wins if "Ukraine as Malaya Rossiya": it would suck Russia dry, bad for Russia and bad for Ukraine.
The tenable position is "Ukraine as Finland," and explains. Here's a graphic table that outlines what is detailed in the report. I found it interesting and objective. A lot less emotional bias than I read even in Wall Street Journal, which I just cancelled after too many neocon op-ed pieces on the topic. I'm now a man without a country living on an island of my own objectivity: neither a flaming progressive liberal, nor a super patriotic neocon in love with Pax Romana.. er.. Pax Americana!. So can't embrace NY Times or WSJ completely.
Mises Institute and Brookings most often produce views I can digest with plausibility and understanding. This was one.
On the table below, I can embrace the middle position of Ukraine as Finland in True Finlandization with 'Russia condition." As to Russia being 'antagonistic' I accept that in so far as it means antagonistic toward unipolar superpower rule, which I am also antagonistic toward whether that power is wielded by the US, Russia, China, Japan, UK, Germany, France or anyone else.
