Bracketology - updated 3/10

Hmmm...I am hoping we win the tournament so we can get Houston. However, I will never complain about a 2 seed.
 
While these things are complete speculation I cannot for the life of me see why anyone would put Kansas as a higher #2 ahead of us in Houston.

What on Kansas' resume could possibly have them a higher #2 than us ?
 
We DONOT WANT TO PLAY A #10 SEED ARKANSAS in Little Rock. This guy is way out there.


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So if UCLA loses to Cal and Stanford, as they should have without the help of the striped shirts, the Bruins should still be the top seed in the West because we know they're one of the four best teams in the country?

That's absolutely stupid. If you can't prove it on the court during the regular season, then your punishment is a worse seed in the NCAAs, and then if you still win the national title, well good for you. But how someone can discount actual game results, as Bilas is doing, is beyond me.

Lunardi seems to think Arkansas playing in Little Rock isn't a home court advantage for the Hogs because there is a specific rule that states a higher seed, USC in this case, cannot have a home court disadvantage in the first round.
 
The reason it will be tough for us to get to Houston, in my opinion, is not because of any strength or weakness of Texas or Kansas or any other #2 seed. It's because you would be severely screwing the #1 seed in the South by lining them up to play us in Houston. The way I see it, our best shot is for Memphis/Tennessee to limp into the South #1 seed off a loss, in which case they wouldn't be as deserving of being protected from a crappy matchup.

But who knows. If we win our tourney, maybe we are so close to the #1 line that they just send us to Houston to make up for not giving us a top seed.

Look for Kansas to get a very favorable setup, regardless of what happens this week. The Committee owes them for last year, and that kind of thing matters.
 
A few things..

That Wisconsin loss is killing us right now. Still the one that gets me the most. With that win on the resume, no way Kansas is ahead of us.

Pac-10 refs are also killing us right now. With one or both of those losses, Kansas could be on the top line right now, which would put them in the West against #2 UCLA. Just like last year.

They should do away with the West regional. Every year there is talk about "who is going to get shipped out West and have to play against the Pac-10 champ in their backyard." I see that as a problem.
 
Texas-Kansas is a perfect example of what Bilas is talking about. On paper, our resume is better. But would you bet money on the Horns against KU straight up on a neutral court? No way. They have been winning by 30 all year while we have been squeeking out wins against marginal teams. Both teams have been on TV a lot, and I don't think you could blame the committee if they seeded Kansas higher than us based on their gut telling them that Kansas is just better. That's what my gut tells me, and I'm a homer.
 
I honestly think it would help us more to have Kansas win the Big XII tourney. I'll still be pulling for the Horns throughout, but KU is closer to landing a #1 seed. With them winning, combined with an early loss from UCLA and/or Tennessee, could maybe sway the committee to give KU the #1, and we end up in Houston as a #2. I just doubt they would move Tenn, or UCLA to Houston. What do I know though, if we win out, we should certainly be considered a #1. I always wonder whether the committee really factors in the Big XII final though.
 
Va Tech was in his bracket 3 days ago. They lose at Clemson by 1 point on game-ending free throws and are now not even in the last 8 teams out. This guy is reinventing the wheel every week when it comes to the bubble situation.

He also could have switched the Washington State/Kent 7-10 game with the USC/Arky 7-10 game to avoid both the ridiculous Little Rock situation and a potential UT/USC second round rematch. Come on, now. This is your job.
 
Pretty similar to last year when USC/Arkansas played in the first round, with the winner playing Texas.

Don't think Lunardi did his homework on this one, re: Arkansas playing in Little Rock.
 
While it is a valid point that UT had the advantage of playing KU at home, it should also be pointed out that KU had a much easier Conference schedule. The bottom 3 teams in the league this year are Mizzou, ISU & CU and KU had the advantage of 6 games against them. Texas is certainly worthy of a 1-seed and hopefully this will justify putting them as a 2 in Houston.
 
After thinking about it, I don't think another win would put us in a much different situation....Tech, Wisconsin, whoever. In the end, if Kansas wins the Big 12 tourney, they were going to jump us anyway. If we don't win the tourney (or advance further than KU), we need UCLA to exit early in the Pac 10. That way KU may get the #1 in PHX.
 
If Memphis is a 1 in Houston we will not be a 2 in Houston. The other poster is correct. Memphis had to play A&M in San Antonio last year as a 1 seed. I don't think they will do that to them two years in a row. Everyone that was happy about losing to Tech to get that possible 2 in Houston should be hating themselves now. I would rather be a 1 in Phoenix than a 2 in Phoenix. No way we get a two in Houston if Memphis is the 1.
 
Guys the committee putting A&M in San Antonio as 2 seed last year is proof that there is a great chance they put us in Houston as a 2 this year. As the previous poster said Memphis was not a 1 seed last year, Ohio State was and technically the committee screwed them by putting them in San Antonio with the A&M fans there. It's the same situation this year. Thinking they will not screw Memphis in an Elite 8 game is ludicrous if they make it that far. It's not called protect the 1 seed all the way til the final four guys.
 
This crap drives me nuts every year. It's a character flaw on my part. One of my many.

Lunardi is good at predicting the field. He's decent at predicting the top seeds. He's absolutely atrocious at picking the brackets.

Which is understandable. Any mistake at any point cascades throughout a projection. Teams are often seeded several lines up and down from where Lunardi projects him. He's doing the best he can, and I do appreciate that he stimulates conversation, but the fact that discussion so often assumes projected brackets have any legitimacy whatsoever grates on my nerves.

Which is okay. I deserve to have my nerves grated on.
 
Memphis was a two last year. A&M was a three. The reason I could see Texas getting shipped out of the South is if Memphis is the one. Assume for a second that Memphis is the one in the South and Texas is the two. That would be the third year in a row Memphis would have to play someone in their backyard. Two years ago as the one versus UCLA the two in Oakland. Last year as the two versus Aggy the three in the Alamodome. Tough to put that team in the same spot three years in a row. Hey Kansas got gifted in 2004 as a 4 seed by not having to freaking get in car to play in Kansas City and St. Louis despite not having beaten an RPI top 30 team that season. So it is anyone's guess.
 
One point I have not read yet is that the Big XII Title game DOES NOT MATTER!! It doesn't. It won't. It ain't gonna. It will next year when the title game is on a Saturday. But not this year.

As someone posted, the committee doesn't care whether a team plays in a road environment after round one. That's why A&M played Louisville in Lexington last year in the second round. That's why Memphis played A&M in SA last year in the Sweet 16. The committee won't analyze this like we are. They follow the mandated rules, put together their brackets, and split. So if Texas gets a 2 seed in Houston, it isn't because UT would have won the conference tournament. It would be because the committee simply put them there. I know that's not a satisfying reason, but it's the correct one. I'd love to see UT get Houston, but if they do it will have nothing to do with what happens this week. Their seed will, but not the location.
 
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