overseasbbfan1
1,000+ Posts
Day One complete at the Big 12 Championships. Some great action and the Ags look tough on both sides, but I think (hope) the men have a shot at taking the title. It won't be easy but we're currently 15.5 pts. ahead of the Ags. A&M has double the track qualifiers we do for today (14 vs. 7), but we have the ability to rack up a lot of points in the remaining field events. It's actually 13 and 6 qualifiers respectively, exluding the 3000, and I've added just one for each squad in the event, based on seed times.
Regarding the filed events, Ags and Horns have roughly the same number of competitors, but we should score considerably more than A&M given our dominance in several events. The Ags best event shold be TJ where they have one of the top seeds, and two that could easily finish top 5. Fortunately, we have a couple who are also capable of scoring in the event. But we have a very good chance of having four guys finish near the top in the SP, and three should score in the Heptathalon as well. We actually had the top three spots in the Hep after three events, but after four currently sit in 1st, 2nd and 6th. But the scoring is close so we need to finish strong in todays last three events. If we can maintain our current placements, or even improve slightly, we're going to score a lot of points. If seeds in the SP and current standings in the Hep hold up, we could score as many as 45 points between these two events alone. That, along with our current 15.5 pt. lead, could be enough to overcome the Ags obvious dominance in the sprints and middle distance events. It doesn't help that Ags are seeded 2nd and we're seeded 6th in the meet's final event, the 4x400. And I fully expect the Ags to win the relay. It should be an exciting day no matter what!
The road looks tougher for the women, even though we have the same number of track qualifiers as the Ags (15 each - this includes one for each squad in the 3000, based on seed times). The Ags are currently 20 points ahead if us, and their seedings/projected finishes are stronger in the sprints. We should score more in the 400, and also 600 where we have two in the finals and the Ags have none. Our only chance, and it's a (very) slight one at best, is to do better than expected in a couple of the sprints, and to totally dominate the HJ. Seedings show us with 4 of the top 10, and three of the top four in this event (Ags also have two in the top 10, at 7th and 8th). We would need all four jumpers to finish near the top, improve a little on our sprint seedings, and win the relay to even have an outside chance. You could also say we need to win 4-5 events to have a chance - best opportunties for that are in the relay, HJ and 600 (where Chambers is defending champ and seeded 2nd in the final). If we could also pull off a surprise, with one of our three finalists winning the 400 (and the other two finishing top 5), and Hall coming through in the mile (seeded fourth in final), we should at least finish strong, even if the Ags take the title. That's a lot of "ifs", I know, but it's always fun to specualte about best and worst case scenarios. And there are other good squads as well, inc KS who is currently in first, 19 ahead of the Ags. It really hurts not having Cooper, Behm and Masterson. They actually put Cooper in the 600 yesterday and she finished dead last in her heat, way off the pace; it was very obvious that she is still injured (which means we probably won't see her in the 4x400 either). And Behm and Masterson didn't compete at all. That's a lot of potential points lost to injuries.
Regarding the filed events, Ags and Horns have roughly the same number of competitors, but we should score considerably more than A&M given our dominance in several events. The Ags best event shold be TJ where they have one of the top seeds, and two that could easily finish top 5. Fortunately, we have a couple who are also capable of scoring in the event. But we have a very good chance of having four guys finish near the top in the SP, and three should score in the Heptathalon as well. We actually had the top three spots in the Hep after three events, but after four currently sit in 1st, 2nd and 6th. But the scoring is close so we need to finish strong in todays last three events. If we can maintain our current placements, or even improve slightly, we're going to score a lot of points. If seeds in the SP and current standings in the Hep hold up, we could score as many as 45 points between these two events alone. That, along with our current 15.5 pt. lead, could be enough to overcome the Ags obvious dominance in the sprints and middle distance events. It doesn't help that Ags are seeded 2nd and we're seeded 6th in the meet's final event, the 4x400. And I fully expect the Ags to win the relay. It should be an exciting day no matter what!
The road looks tougher for the women, even though we have the same number of track qualifiers as the Ags (15 each - this includes one for each squad in the 3000, based on seed times). The Ags are currently 20 points ahead if us, and their seedings/projected finishes are stronger in the sprints. We should score more in the 400, and also 600 where we have two in the finals and the Ags have none. Our only chance, and it's a (very) slight one at best, is to do better than expected in a couple of the sprints, and to totally dominate the HJ. Seedings show us with 4 of the top 10, and three of the top four in this event (Ags also have two in the top 10, at 7th and 8th). We would need all four jumpers to finish near the top, improve a little on our sprint seedings, and win the relay to even have an outside chance. You could also say we need to win 4-5 events to have a chance - best opportunties for that are in the relay, HJ and 600 (where Chambers is defending champ and seeded 2nd in the final). If we could also pull off a surprise, with one of our three finalists winning the 400 (and the other two finishing top 5), and Hall coming through in the mile (seeded fourth in final), we should at least finish strong, even if the Ags take the title. That's a lot of "ifs", I know, but it's always fun to specualte about best and worst case scenarios. And there are other good squads as well, inc KS who is currently in first, 19 ahead of the Ags. It really hurts not having Cooper, Behm and Masterson. They actually put Cooper in the 600 yesterday and she finished dead last in her heat, way off the pace; it was very obvious that she is still injured (which means we probably won't see her in the 4x400 either). And Behm and Masterson didn't compete at all. That's a lot of potential points lost to injuries.