BCS Poll (estimated) FWIW

Shark4

Shark4

2,500+ Posts
One of the first attempts to estimate BCS standings with incomplete data (I thought this would be well received here):

Released: USA Today and Harris polls; Sagarin, Massey, and Colley Matrix computer polls
Released tomorrow: Billingsley computer poll
Released at later date: Hester and Wolfe computer polls

1. Oklahoma .9244
2. Alabama .9233
3. Texas .7999
4. LSU .7956
5. Missouri .7377
6. Penn State .6795
7. Utah .5912
8. Georgia .5888
9. South Florida .5817
10. BYU .5524
11. Texas Tech .5454
12. USC .5320
13. Boise State .4600
14. Vanderbilt .4500
15. Ohio State .4119
16. Florida .3801
17. Auburn .3582
18. Northwestern .2934
19. Virginia Tech .2839
20. Wisconsin .2641
21. Connecticut .2627
22. Kansas .2304
23. Oklahoma State .1723
24. Oregon .1518
25. Wake Forest .1418

As always, the UT season will turn on the game with Okrahoma.
 
Okrahoma. Playing out of the Hunan Conference.
wink.gif


That actually doesn't look too bad to me!
 
Here's something to think about....

That staw poll has OU and Texas in the top 3.

Going back the last 10 years, these are consistently the top two programs in the country.

Not bad. South Division of Big 12 still kicks *** year in and year out. The rest just come and go, and may come again. But Horns and Sooners now have the premiere programs in modern big time college football.

Even more than USC, in my opinion.

And it's just going to keep going that way. Texas is in position to out-recruit everyone easily over the next several years. Who the hell would not want to get on this program, on either side of the ball. Moreso now that ever before.
 
Issues with those computer polls

Colley: Vandy #2?? Northwestern #5
Sagarin: USC #3
Billingsley: USC #4?

Seriously, USC should be no higher than 10 in any computer poll, or 7-8 in any human poll (cause the computer does not judge the freakish talent on that team)
 
yes, how is it possible for USC to overcome an early season loss to OSU in the computers? a team with one loss against a team that is rated so low should not be that high. it just goes to show that even the computers have some kind of inherent bias. they have to have some kind of starting value and it shows here. how else could USC still be so high this early in the year with one loss?
 
USC is getting credit for beating an overrated tOSU (at least in Sagarin which is not yet "connected" - check out the differences between ELO-CHESS and PREDICTOR...).
 
USC #12 hahahahahaha

hey people lock of the week....take Oregon and the points. Everyone always expects SC to come out like gangbusters after a loss.....it never happens. Instead SC comes out looking even worse than they did the previous week, or almost as bad, but somehow they pull a victory out of their azz. Last year, after Stanford, SC beat Arizona in such unimpressive fashion that the pollsters dropped SC from 10 to 13 (the week before SC went from #1 to #10 after the Stanford loss) The only reason SC won that game is because Pete pulled his head out of his *** and must have listened to the smart folk by finally letting McKnight return punts, a big punt return saved the day.

Last year also, after the Oregon loss, SC came back home to face Oregon St and looked horrible for 3/4 of the game, and that was with Booty finally coming back.

Take Oregon and the points, easy money.

USC 7-4 in their last 11 Pac-10 games, 10-5 in their last 15.
 
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