5 seed...beating CU

needajobrob

25+ Posts
Here's a thought provoking question:

Are we better off winning tonight, losing to KU, and then getting at least 1 win in the big 12 tourney to go at least 2-2 the rest of the way...

OR

Beat KU with no emphasis on this Baylor game and then get knocked out in the first game we play of the Big 12 tourney?

I think a win in the Big 12 tourney does us some good. If we take the 5 seed we could beat CU, then a rematch with someone like Kstate or OSU. 2 wins in the tourney could solidify a 6 seed. Much better than a potential matchup with Pitt in the Round of 32.

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Beating KU just for the sake of beating KU in Lawrence would be great, but I don't see it happening this year.

We have to beat Baylor tonight.

Interesting tie-breaker for 4th place. When more than two teams are involved, the conference divides the teams into the traditional north and south divisions. Intradivisional ties are resolved first. Texas comes out ahead of both OSU and A&M thanks to a better record against south teams. Unfortunately (or fortunately, depending on your perspective), KSU beats Texas on head to head.
 
I am beating the same tired drum, but if we don't beat Baylor (or KU, or both) we don't go to the NCAA tournament. We would finish behind too many teams in the Big 12 regular season to make the dance. Ok State and Kansas State will certainly be 9-7, as will imho Aggy (with a win over Mizzu). Thus, an 8-8 record can be no better than a multiple way tie for 6th in the conference and imho 7th. This year the argument that the Big 12 south is a tougher row to hoe doesn't hold much water with both KU and MU up north. Nope, lose tonight, and Texas will need to win at KU. If we lose both and Texas will need to win the Big 12 tournament to get in, meaning lose both, and it's definitely NIT. I think we win an uncomfortably tight one tonight (Texas by 3). We have to9 have this game like none other in Rick Barnes' tenure (well maybe at Ok State in Buckman's senior year-same friggin deal).
 
I'm inclined to think Mizzou is a much better team than the Aggies, but Missouri has played some pretty poor games on the road, having been smashed by both KU and KSU and losing to Nebraska in Lincoln. Aggies probably have to win to get into the tournament, while Missouri won't have anything to play for except seeding. With such a disparity in motivation and Missouri's track record in road games, I don't know if I'd bet against A&M in that game.

Of course, it would be funny to see the Aggies lose by 40 or so.
 
I think aggy beats Mizzu based on the game being in collieville and Mizzu having nothing for which to play other than avoiding injury before the tournaments. Aggy is playing very well, and they have enough ball handlers to deal with Mizzu's press. proof will be in the pudding either way.
 
I'm still hoping for that 6 seed. With a win today we could be creeping close to it. To me, the 6 is the sweet spot outside of 1 and 2 in the region.
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